Conf = Liberty League             Region = New York     State = NY
   Nickname = Herons                 Coach  = Brighde Dougherty       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0781555    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 A St. John Fisher        Empire Eight  (15- 5, 82.6)     7- 9   
 305 H Cortland               SUNYAC        (22- 1, 89.9)     6-22   
 308 H Nazareth               Empire Eight  ( 8- 8, 76.4)     8- 9   
 318 N Amherst                NESCAC        (19- 3, 87.5)     2- 9   
 320 N Babson                 NEWMAC        ( 6-11, 76.8)    11-18   
 328 H St. Lawrence           Liberty Leagu ( 6- 9, 75.4)     8- 6   
 329 H Clarkson               Liberty Leagu ( 5-12, 71.6)    12- 7   
 404 A Rensselaer             Liberty Leagu (13- 5, 81.5)     6- 8   
 405 A Skidmore               Liberty Leagu ( 6-10, 75.9)    10- 5   
 408 A Ithaca                 Empire Eight  (12- 6, 82.1)     6- 9   
 411 H Vassar                 Liberty Leagu (11- 5, 77.4)    18-13   
 412 H Bard                   Liberty Leagu ( 3-12, 64.6)    16- 6   
 418 A Rochester              Liberty Leagu ( 6- 8, 75.1)    11- 9   
 419 A RIT                    Liberty Leagu ( 5-10, 74.3)    13- 6   
 426 H Union                  Liberty Leagu (10- 7, 79.0)    14- 9   
 502 N Union                  Liberty Leagu (10- 7, 79.0)     9-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 A St. John Fisher         7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.48
   305 H Cortland                6-22     -16   -10           0.00
   308 H Nazareth                8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.68
   318 N Amherst                 2- 9      -7    -9    +      2.41
   320 N Babson                 11-18      -7     1    ---   -8.32
   328 H St. Lawrence            8- 6       2     3          -1.60
   329 H Clarkson               12- 7       5     7    -     -2.40
   404 A Rensselaer              6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.34
   405 A Skidmore               10- 5       5     1    +      3.74
   408 A Ithaca                  6- 9      -3    -4           1.97
   411 H Vassar                 18-13       5     1    +      3.41
   412 H Bard                   16- 6      10    14           0.00
   418 A Rochester              11- 9       2     1           0.00
   419 A RIT                    13- 6       7     2    ++     4.21
   426 H Union                  14- 9       5     0    ++     5.01
   502 N Union                   9-11      -2     0          -1.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 N Babson                 11-18      -7     1    ---   -8.32
   308 H Nazareth                8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.68
   329 H Clarkson               12- 7       5     7    -     -2.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   419 A RIT                    13- 6       7     2    ++     4.21
   426 H Union                  14- 9       5     0    ++     5.01
   301 A St. John Fisher         7- 9      -2    -5    +      3.48
   318 N Amherst                 2- 9      -7    -9    +      2.41
   404 A Rensselaer              6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.34
   405 A Skidmore               10- 5       5     1    +      3.74
   411 H Vassar                 18-13       5     1    +      3.41
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.08 Local Power Rank...........    39
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.42 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    81
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   251
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    94
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.3
/