Conf = NESCAC                     Region = New England  State = MA
   Nickname = Ephs                   Coach  = Chris Mason             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.3509140    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 N Bowdoin                NESCAC        ( 8- 7, 84.7)    12- 8   
 305 H Springfield            NEWMAC        ( 8- 9, 79.8)     8- 4   
 308 H Trinity (CT)           NESCAC        (19- 3, 87.0)    10-13   
 316 A Connecticut College    NESCAC        ( 5-10, 80.1)     8- 7   
 322 H Bates                  NESCAC        ( 8- 8, 83.7)     6- 5   
 326 N Union                  Liberty Leagu (10- 7, 79.0)    13- 8   
 327 N Wellesley              NEWMAC        ( 6- 9, 72.0)    17- 5   
 402 A Tufts                  NESCAC        (10- 6, 82.8)    10- 5   
 403 A Castleton State        North Atlanti ( 9- 7, 71.0)    16- 4   
 405 A Wesleyan (CT)          NESCAC        ( 5-10, 81.2)    13- 5   
 408 A Hamilton               NESCAC        ( 6- 8, 82.9)     9- 8  o
 412 A Colby                  NESCAC        (11- 7, 85.3)    10- 9 2o
 416 A Rensselaer             Liberty Leagu (13- 5, 81.5)    13- 6   
 419 H Amherst                NESCAC        (19- 3, 87.5)     6-13   
 423 H Middlebury             NESCAC        (12- 6, 87.3)     4-12   
 426 H Tufts                  NESCAC        (10- 6, 82.8)    11- 6   
 503 N Amherst                NESCAC        (19- 3, 87.5)     4- 9   
 510 H Wheaton                NEWMAC        (14- 7, 77.2)     9- 6   
 517 N Colby                  NESCAC        (11- 7, 85.3)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 N Bowdoin                12- 8       4     0    ++     4.38
   305 H Springfield             8- 4       4     5          -1.52
   308 H Trinity (CT)           10-13      -3    -1          -1.36
   316 A Connecticut College     8- 7       1     3    -     -2.24
   322 H Bates                   6- 5       1     1          -0.61
   326 N Union                  13- 8       5     5          -0.31
   327 N Wellesley              17- 5      12    12           0.00
   402 A Tufts                  10- 5       5     0    ++     4.45
   403 A Castleton State        16- 4      12    12           0.00
   405 A Wesleyan (CT)          13- 5       8     2    ++     5.84
   408 A Hamilton                9- 8  o    1     0           0.50
   412 A Colby                  10- 9 2o    1    -1    +      2.90
   416 A Rensselaer             13- 6       7     1    ++     5.06
   419 H Amherst                 6-13      -7    -2    --    -4.83
   423 H Middlebury              4-12      -8    -1    ---   -6.06
   426 H Tufts                  11- 6       5     2    +      2.53
   503 N Amherst                 4- 9      -5    -3          -1.86
   510 H Wheaton                 9- 6       3     8    --    -5.06
   517 N Colby                   6- 8      -2     0          -1.06

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Middlebury              4-12      -8    -1    ---   -6.06
   419 H Amherst                 6-13      -7    -2    --    -4.83
   510 H Wheaton                 9- 6       3     8    --    -5.06
   316 A Connecticut College     8- 7       1     3    -     -2.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 N Bowdoin                12- 8       4     0    ++     4.38
   402 A Tufts                  10- 5       5     0    ++     4.45
   405 A Wesleyan (CT)          13- 5       8     2    ++     5.84
   416 A Rensselaer             13- 6       7     1    ++     5.06
   412 A Colby                  10- 9 2o    1    -1    +      2.90
   426 H Tufts                  11- 6       5     2    +      2.53
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.35 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.32 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.115.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/