Conf = Commonwealth               Region = Metro        State = MD
   Nickname = Mustangs               Coach  = Kathy Railey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.8050842    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 H Gettysburg             Centennial    (18- 3, 85.8)     6-15   
 222 H Salisbury              Capital       (23- 1, 85.8)     6- 8   
 301 H Brockport              SUNYAC        (10- 7, 80.1)     9-11   
 302 H Fredonia               SUNYAC        (12- 7, 79.0)    17- 8   
 305 A Haverford              Centennial    ( 8- 8, 78.2)     8- 9   
 310 N Nazareth               Empire Eight  ( 8- 8, 76.4)    12-10   
 311 N Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   ( 8- 9, 66.6)    18- 6   
 313 N Dickinson              Centennial    ( 9- 8, 77.9)    11- 8   
 322 A Wittenberg             North Coast   (14- 3, 76.1)    16-12   
 329 H Albright               Commonwealth  ( 8- 9, 72.2)    20- 5   
 405 A Alvernia               Commonwealth  ( 9- 9, 72.2)    17- 7   
 409 H Hood                   Commonwealth  ( 5- 8, 59.4)    22- 2   
 412 H Lebanon Valley         Commonwealth  (16- 4, 78.4)    13- 6   
 417 A Widener                Commonwealth  ( 4-11, 71.4)    13- 4   
 422 A Messiah                Commonwealth  (11- 7, 80.2)     8-14   
 426 H Lycoming               Commonwealth  ( 5-11, 67.5)    19- 5   
 501 H Lebanon Valley         Commonwealth  (16- 4, 78.4)    13-10   
 503 A Messiah                Commonwealth  (11- 7, 80.2)    13-12   
 510 A Geneseo                SUNYAC        (17- 3, 83.6)     4- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Gettysburg              6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.97
   222 H Salisbury               6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.07
   301 H Brockport               9-11      -2     1    -     -3.64
   302 H Fredonia               17- 8       9     2    +++    6.21
   305 A Haverford               8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.68
   310 N Nazareth               12-10       2     4    -     -2.44
   311 N Ohio Wesleyan          18- 6      12    14           0.00
   313 N Dickinson              11- 8       3     2           0.07
   322 A Wittenberg             16-12       4     3           0.21
   329 H Albright               20- 5      15     9           0.40
   405 A Alvernia               17- 7      10     7    +      2.37
   409 H Hood                   22- 2      20    22           0.00
   412 H Lebanon Valley         13- 6       7     3    +      3.62
   417 A Widener                13- 4       9     8           0.52
   422 A Messiah                 8-14      -6     0    --    -5.67
   426 H Lycoming               19- 5      14    14           0.00
   501 H Lebanon Valley         13-10       3     3          -0.38
   503 A Messiah                13-12       1     0           1.33
   510 A Geneseo                 4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.77

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Gettysburg              6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.97
   422 A Messiah                 8-14      -6     0    --    -5.67
   301 H Brockport               9-11      -2     1    -     -3.64
   305 A Haverford               8- 9      -1     1    -     -2.68
   310 N Nazareth               12-10       2     4    -     -2.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Fredonia               17- 8       9     2    +++    6.21
   222 H Salisbury               6- 8      -2    -4    +      2.07
   405 A Alvernia               17- 7      10     7    +      2.37
   412 H Lebanon Valley         13- 6       7     3    +      3.62
   510 A Geneseo                 4- 5      -1    -3    +      2.77
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.81 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.50 Local SOS Rank.............    36
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   218
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    47
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   12.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   12.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/