Conf = Colonial                   Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Monarchs               Coach  = Heather Holt            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   82.8753052    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 221 H Louisville             Big East      (16- 4, 95.0)    12-15   
 223 H UC Davis               MPSF          ( 8- 8, 83.8)     6-12   
 227 A Stetson                Atlantic Sun  ( 2-16, 73.0)    15-11   
 301 A Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  (14- 6, 88.9)    11-20   
 305 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 89.4)     5- 9   
 309 A Liberty                Big South     ( 2-16, 77.7)    11- 9   
 313 A Longwood               Big South     ( 9-10, 80.6)    13-16   
 316 H Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   ( 5-11, 80.5)    18-11   
 322 A American               Patriot Leagu ( 5-12, 83.3)    11-13   
 326 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas (12- 9, 95.2)     8-19   
 329 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 7-10, 87.5)    17-18   
 401 A Davidson               Big South     (12- 7, 84.1)     9-10   
 418 A Colorado               MPSF          (11- 8, 86.2)    10-12   
 420 A Denver                 MPSF          (19- 2, 91.3)     6-18   
 423 H Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (15- 5, 94.2)     5-14   
 426 A William & Mary         Colonial      ( 4-12, 85.5)    11-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H Louisville             12-15      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   223 H UC Davis                6-12      -6     0    ---   -6.31
   227 A Stetson                15-11       4     8    --    -4.72
   301 A Jacksonville           11-20      -9    -7          -1.76
   305 H Richmond                5- 9      -4    -5           1.35
   309 A Liberty                11- 9       2     4    -     -2.03
   313 A Longwood               13-16      -3     1    --    -4.05
   316 H Saint Joseph's         18-11       7     3    +      3.45
   322 A American               11-13      -2    -1          -0.42
   326 A Virginia                8-19     -11   -13           0.00
   329 H Virginia Tech          17-18      -1    -3    +      2.39
   401 A Davidson                9-10      -1    -2           1.45
   418 A Colorado               10-12      -2    -4    +      2.53
   420 A Denver                  6-18     -12    -9          -0.37
   423 H Johns Hopkins           5-14      -9   -10           1.00
   426 A William & Mary         11-16      -5    -3          -1.14

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 H UC Davis                6-12      -6     0    ---   -6.31
   227 A Stetson                15-11       4     8    --    -4.72
   313 A Longwood               13-16      -3     1    --    -4.05
   309 A Liberty                11- 9       2     4    -     -2.03

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H Louisville             12-15      -3   -10    +++    7.00
   316 H Saint Joseph's         18-11       7     3    +      3.45
   329 H Virginia Tech          17-18      -1    -3    +      2.39
   418 A Colorado               10-12      -2    -4    +      2.53
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.88 Local Power Rank...........    71
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.26 Local SOS Rank.............    58
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    82
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    73
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    88
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.7
/