Conf = Big South                  Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Flames                 Coach  = Kelly Nangle            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   77.6523590    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 207 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 89.4)     7-16   
 215 A Vanderbilt             Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-12, 89.5)     8-20   
 218 A Navy                   Patriot Leagu (14- 3, 90.5)     3-19   
 221 H Elon                   Atlantic Sun  ( 8- 9, 80.1)    13- 9   
 226 A George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 7- 9, 84.0)    10-21   
 305 H George Mason           Atlantic 10   ( 7- 9, 78.8)     8-16   
 309 H Old Dominion           Colonial      ( 3-13, 82.9)     9-11   
 315 A La Salle               Atlantic 10   (11- 6, 84.7)    10-11   
 322 A Robert Morris          Northeast     (11- 6, 80.3)     9-10   
 402 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 7-10, 87.5)     7-18   
 404 A Campbell               Big South     ( 7- 9, 77.8)    14-18   
 406 A Presbyterian           Big South     ( 4-14, 69.4)    20-10   
 411 H High Point             Big South     (14- 6, 89.2)     5-17   
 413 H Coastal Carolina       Big South     ( 5-12, 79.0)     6- 7   
 419 A Davidson               Big South     (12- 7, 84.1)     3-16   
 425 H Winthrop               Big South     ( 8-11, 82.2)    14-19   
 427 H Longwood               Big South     ( 9-10, 80.6)    11-12   
 430 A Davidson               Big South     (12- 7, 84.1)    10-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   207 A Richmond                7-16      -9   -12           1.00
   215 A Vanderbilt              8-20     -12   -13           0.00
   218 A Navy                    3-19     -16   -14           0.00
   221 H Elon                   13- 9       4    -1    ++     5.21
   226 A George Washington      10-21     -11    -7    -     -2.50
   305 H George Mason            8-16      -8     0    ---   -8.06
   309 H Old Dominion            9-11      -2    -4    +      2.03
   315 A La Salle               10-11      -1    -8    +++    7.24
   322 A Robert Morris           9-10      -1    -3    +      2.83
   402 A Virginia Tech           7-18     -11   -11           0.00
   404 A Campbell               14-18      -4    -1    -     -2.67
   406 A Presbyterian           20-10      10     7    +      2.89
   411 H High Point              5-17     -12   -10           0.00
   413 H Coastal Carolina        6- 7      -1     0          -0.84
   419 A Davidson                3-16     -13    -7    -     -2.32
   425 H Winthrop               14-19      -5    -3          -1.70
   427 H Longwood               11-12      -1    -1           0.78
   430 A Davidson               10-18      -8    -7          -0.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H George Mason            8-16      -8     0    ---   -8.06
   226 A George Washington      10-21     -11    -7    -     -2.50
   404 A Campbell               14-18      -4    -1    -     -2.67
   419 A Davidson                3-16     -13    -7    -     -2.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   315 A La Salle               10-11      -1    -8    +++    7.24
   221 H Elon                   13- 9       4    -1    ++     5.21
   309 H Old Dominion            9-11      -2    -4    +      2.03
   322 A Robert Morris           9-10      -1    -3    +      2.83
   406 A Presbyterian           20-10      10     7    +      2.89
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 77.65 Local Power Rank...........    92
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.20 Local SOS Rank.............    80
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.37 Local RPI Rank.............    93
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    59
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   103
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-16 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/