Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Patriots               Coach  = Lauren Hay              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.7867813    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 221 H UC Davis               MPSF          ( 8- 8, 83.8)     8- 9   
 223 H Winthrop               Big South     ( 8-11, 82.2)     6- 7   
 302 H Longwood               Big South     ( 9-10, 80.6)    13-12 2o
 305 A Liberty                Big South     ( 2-16, 77.7)    16- 8   
 308 A Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 3-13, 76.3)    13- 5   
 310 A Coastal Carolina       Big South     ( 5-12, 79.0)    10- 9   
 314 A Presbyterian           Big South     ( 4-14, 69.4)    15- 9   
 321 H Campbell               Big South     ( 7- 9, 77.8)    14-13   
 326 A American               Patriot Leagu ( 5-12, 83.3)     3-15   
 404 A St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 0-14, 75.8)    11- 9   
 406 H Duquesne               Atlantic 10   (14- 4, 87.4)    13-21   
 411 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 89.4)     4-16   
 413 A Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (18- 2, 94.4)     2-22   
 418 A George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 7- 9, 84.0)     7-14   
 425 H Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   ( 5-11, 80.5)     7-12   
 427 H La Salle               Atlantic 10   (11- 6, 84.7)     4-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H UC Davis                8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.78
   223 H Winthrop                6- 7      -1    -2           1.17
   302 H Longwood               13-12 2o    1     0           1.65
   305 A Liberty                16- 8       8     0    +++    8.06
   308 A Mount St. Mary's       13- 5       8     1    +++    6.75
   310 A Coastal Carolina       10- 9       1    -1    +      2.42
   314 A Presbyterian           15- 9       6     8    -     -2.24
   321 H Campbell               14-13       1     2          -1.20
   326 A American                3-15     -12    -5    --    -4.33
   404 A St. Bonaventure        11- 9       2     1           0.22
   406 H Duquesne               13-21      -8    -7          -0.54
   411 A Richmond                4-16     -12   -11           0.00
   413 A Massachusetts           2-22     -20   -16           0.00
   418 A George Washington       7-14      -7    -6          -0.64
   425 H Saint Joseph's          7-12      -5     0    --    -4.46
   427 H La Salle                4-13      -9    -4    --    -4.29

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A American                3-15     -12    -5    --    -4.33
   425 H Saint Joseph's          7-12      -5     0    --    -4.46
   427 H La Salle                4-13      -9    -4    --    -4.29
   314 A Presbyterian           15- 9       6     8    -     -2.24

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Liberty                16- 8       8     0    +++    8.06
   308 A Mount St. Mary's       13- 5       8     1    +++    6.75
   221 H UC Davis                8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.78
   310 A Coastal Carolina       10- 9       1    -1    +      2.42
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.79 Local Power Rank...........    88
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.78 Local SOS Rank.............    89
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.42 Local RPI Rank.............    80
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    64
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.0
/