Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = West/Midwest State = PA
   Nickname = Dukes                  Coach  = Michael Scerbo          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.4481964    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 H Howard                 Atlantic Sun  ( 1-14, 66.2)    22- 4   
 225 A Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co (10- 8, 94.7)     7-11   
 307 A Marquette              Big East      ( 5-12, 84.7)    14-10   
 309 A Niagara                Metro Atlanti ( 7- 9, 80.0)    19- 6   
 314 A Saint Francis          Northeast     ( 4-12, 75.6)    19- 6   
 316 A Detroit                Atlantic Sun  ( 5-13, 77.1)    13- 4   
 319 H Canisius               Metro Atlanti (12- 7, 88.8)    12-11  o
 323 H Mount St. Mary's       Northeast     ( 3-13, 76.3)    18- 5   
 325 H Bucknell               Patriot Leagu ( 4-12, 81.5)    16- 5   
 329 H Robert Morris          Northeast     (11- 6, 80.3)    13- 8   
 404 H George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 7- 9, 84.0)    19-12   
 406 A George Mason           Atlantic 10   ( 7- 9, 78.8)    21-13   
 411 A La Salle               Atlantic 10   (11- 6, 84.7)     9-10   
 413 A Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   ( 5-11, 80.5)    10- 8   
 417 H St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   ( 0-14, 75.8)    15- 7   
 425 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   (11- 7, 89.4)    10- 8   
 427 H Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (18- 2, 94.4)     8-16   
 502 N Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   (18- 2, 94.4)     3-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Howard                 22- 4      18    22           0.00
   225 A Penn State              7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.46
   307 A Marquette              14-10       4     1    +      2.48
   309 A Niagara                19- 6      13     6    +      3.72
   314 A Saint Francis          19- 6      13    10           0.00
   316 A Detroit                13- 4       9     9          -0.18
   319 H Canisius               12-11  o    1     0           1.16
   323 H Mount St. Mary's       18- 5      13    12           0.00
   325 H Bucknell               16- 5      11     7    +      2.88
   329 H Robert Morris          13- 8       5     8    -     -3.36
   404 H George Washington      19-12       7     4    +      2.31
   406 A George Mason           21-13       8     7           0.54
   411 A La Salle                9-10      -1     1    -     -2.55
   413 A Saint Joseph's         10- 8       2     5    -     -3.73
   417 H St. Bonaventure        15- 7       8    12    -     -2.00
   425 H Richmond               10- 8       2     0    +      2.77
   427 H Massachusetts           8-16      -8    -5    -     -2.24
   502 N Massachusetts           3-16     -13    -6    -     -3.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   329 H Robert Morris          13- 8       5     8    -     -3.36
   411 A La Salle                9-10      -1     1    -     -2.55
   413 A Saint Joseph's         10- 8       2     5    -     -3.73
   417 H St. Bonaventure        15- 7       8    12    -     -2.00
   427 H Massachusetts           8-16      -8    -5    -     -2.24
   502 N Massachusetts           3-16     -13    -6    -     -3.04

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Penn State              7-11      -4    -8    ++     4.46
   307 A Marquette              14-10       4     1    +      2.48
   309 A Niagara                19- 6      13     6    +      3.72
   325 H Bucknell               16- 5      11     7    +      2.88
   404 H George Washington      19-12       7     4    +      2.31
   425 H Richmond               10- 8       2     0    +      2.77
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.45 Local Power Rank...........    46
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.99 Local SOS Rank.............    82
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    39
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/