Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = New York     State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Kathy Taylor            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 A Union                  Liberty Leagu (10- 7, 79.0)    20- 4   
 305 A William Smith          Liberty Leagu ( 8- 8, 78.1)    22- 6   
 312 A Tufts                  NESCAC        (10- 6, 82.8)    17- 7   
 315 N Catholic (DC)          Landmark      (12- 6, 79.8)    20- 3   
 319 H Ithaca                 Empire Eight  (12- 6, 82.1)    12- 7   
 325 A Nazareth               Empire Eight  ( 8- 8, 76.4)    14- 3   
 328 N Geneseo                SUNYAC        (17- 3, 83.6)    15- 6   
 401 A Oneonta                SUNYAC        (12- 7, 79.7)    17- 7   
 405 A Oswego                 SUNYAC        (11- 6, 77.1)    11- 3   
 408 H Brockport              SUNYAC        (10- 7, 80.1)    14- 8   
 410 A Middlebury             NESCAC        (12- 6, 87.3)    12-10   
 412 H Buffalo State          SUNYAC        ( 8- 7, 74.6)    18- 4   
 417 A St. John Fisher        Empire Eight  (15- 5, 82.6)    15-12   
 419 H New Paltz              SUNYAC        ( 3- 9, 71.7)    22- 5   
 420 H Salisbury              Capital       (23- 1, 85.8)    12- 8   
 422 H Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 4-11, 72.8)    18- 5   
 426 A Fredonia               SUNYAC        (12- 7, 79.0)    14- 2   
 502 H Oneonta                SUNYAC        (12- 7, 79.7)    12- 6   
 503 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        (17- 3, 83.6)    14- 3   
 510 H Mount Union            Ohio          (16- 3, 74.5)    20- 5   
 517 H Redlands               SCIAC         (14- 5, 77.0)    19- 3   
 518 N Colby                  NESCAC        (11- 7, 85.3)    16- 7   
 524 N Trinity (CT)           NESCAC        (19- 3, 87.0)     7- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Union                  20- 4      16     9           0.11
   305 A William Smith          22- 6      16    10           0.00
   312 A Tufts                  17- 7      10     6    +      3.90
   315 N Catholic (DC)          20- 3      17    10           0.00
   319 H Ithaca                 12- 7       5     8    -     -3.78
   325 A Nazareth               14- 3      11    12           0.00
   328 N Geneseo                15- 6       9     6    +      2.71
   401 A Oneonta                17- 7      10     9           0.79
   405 A Oswego                 11- 3       8    11    -     -2.00
   408 H Brockport              14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   410 A Middlebury             12-10       2     1           0.31
   412 H Buffalo State          18- 4      14    16           0.00
   417 A St. John Fisher        15-12       3     6    -     -3.34
   419 H New Paltz              22- 5      17    19           0.00
   420 H Salisbury              12- 8       4     5          -1.02
   422 H Potsdam                18- 5      13    18           0.00
   426 A Fredonia               14- 2      12     9           0.04
   502 H Oneonta                12- 6       6    11    --    -4.00
   503 H Geneseo                14- 3      11     7    +      2.75
   510 H Mount Union            20- 5      15    16           0.00
   517 H Redlands               19- 3      16    13           0.00
   518 N Colby                  16- 7       9     4    ++     4.39
   524 N Trinity (CT)            7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.94

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Brockport              14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   502 H Oneonta                12- 6       6    11    --    -4.00
   319 H Ithaca                 12- 7       5     8    -     -3.78
   405 A Oswego                 11- 3       8    11    -     -2.00
   417 A St. John Fisher        15-12       3     6    -     -3.34
   524 N Trinity (CT)            7- 8      -1     2    -     -3.94

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 N Colby                  16- 7       9     4    ++     4.39
   312 A Tufts                  17- 7      10     6    +      3.90
   328 N Geneseo                15- 6       9     6    +      2.71
   503 H Geneseo                14- 3      11     7    +      2.75
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.53 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.73 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   43.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.200.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 22- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   10.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    8.0
/