2013 NCAA Women's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Salisbury Capital 23 0 2 14 1 1 1 1 3 25.00 2 Cortland SUNYAC 21 2 4 11 3 3 4 3 10 18.00 3 Middlebury NESCAC 18 3 1 1 4 4 2 4 10 34.00 4 Trinity (CT) NESCAC 21 1 3 3 2 2 6 2 10 13.00 5 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 16 5 7 10 6 6 3 7 16 2.00 6 Gettysburg Centennial 19 2 5 16 5 5 10 5 20 4.00 7 College of New J Independent 15 5 10 39 10 12 8 10 30 1.00 8 Adrian MIAA 17 3 68 136 16 19 9 13 41 0.10 9 Geneseo SUNYAC 13 6 6 18 24 13 5 23 41 1.00 10 Fredonia SUNYAC 14 3 19 22 11 7 25 11 43 0.10 11 Bowdoin NESCAC 15 4 9 8 7 8 32 9 49 0.10 12 Rensselaer Liberty League 16 4 11 25 13 9 26 14 49 0.10 13 Colby NESCAC 13 5 8 12 9 16 15 19 50 1.00 14 York Capital 14 5 14 26 21 20 19 24 63 0.10 15 Christopher Newp USA South Atl. 18 3 29 104 12 18 38 8 64 0.10 16 Brockport SUNYAC 12 6 18 20 26 27 14 25 66 0.10 17 Stevenson Commonwealth 16 2 24 55 14 10 44 12 66 0.10 18 Wittenberg North Coast 12 4 58 101 42 22 17 27 66 0.10 19 Kenyon North Coast 13 3 56 111 31 15 24 29 68 0.10 20 St. John Fisher Empire Eight 15 4 15 36 17 17 35 20 72 0.10 21 Messiah Commonwealth 10 7 25 24 47 23 11 47 81 0.10 22 Redlands SCIAC 15 5 41 60 41 14 30 39 83 0.10 23 Ithaca Empire Eight 12 6 13 19 25 25 27 34 86 0.10 24 Mary Washington Capital 11 7 34 27 44 24 20 48 92 0.10 25 Wooster North Coast 13 5 71 112 55 26 29 40 95 0.10 26 Susquehanna Landmark 17 1 21 54 8 11 79 6 96 0.10 27 Washington Colle Centennial 13 5 22 35 29 21 49 30 100 0.10 28 Hamilton NESCAC 9 8 16 2 37 35 12 56 103 0.10 29 Augustana Midwest 17 4 98 165 22 42 46 16 104 0.10 30 Elizabethtown Commonwealth 12 7 42 46 80 32 21 55 108 0.10 31 Haverford Centennial 13 5 39 40 27 33 50 28 111 0.10 32 Denison North Coast 13 3 66 113 30 30 60 22 112 0.10 33 St. Lawrence Liberty League 12 6 40 37 39 38 33 42 113 0.10 34 Montclair State Skyline 15 5 55 102 35 39 37 38 114 0.10 35 Amherst NESCAC 9 6 12 5 28 31 41 46 118 0.10 36 Catholic (DC) Landmark 8 10 48 15 102 29 7 90 126 0.10 37 Lebanon Valley Commonwealth 13 5 38 70 57 37 57 37 131 0.10 38 Lasell Great Northeas 15 4 96 158 32 41 59 36 136 0.10 39 Mount Holyoke NEWMAC 13 4 57 87 40 34 64 45 143 0.10 40 Tufts NESCAC 7 8 17 4 54 36 34 76 146 0.10 41 Western New Engl Comm. Coast 15 6 81 92 62 40 47 65 152 0.10 42 Bridgewater Stat MASCAC 17 3 69 137 18 51 85 18 154 0.10 43 Bates NESCAC 7 8 23 6 48 46 36 74 156 0.10 44 Rowan Independent 11 6 51 53 58 47 58 58 163 0.10 45 RIT Liberty League 10 6 31 42 70 49 48 68 165 0.10 46 William Smith Liberty League 10 7 27 21 67 43 51 78 172 0.10 47 Union Liberty League 7 7 26 17 72 55 43 77 175 0.10 48 Williams NESCAC 8 7 20 7 46 44 74 61 179 0.10 49 Dickinson Centennial 7 9 32 28 128 50 18 114 182 0.10 50 McDaniel Centennial 11 9 50 45 119 45 28 109 182 0.10 51 Sewanee SAA 13 7 117 122 94 48 52 85 185 0.10 52 Endicott Comm. Coast 13 8 28 50 75 52 53 83 188 1.00 53 Keuka NEAC West 13 4 111 173 34 59 105 31 195 0.10 54 Roanoke Old Dominion 9 8 67 63 123 63 31 101 195 0.10 55 St. Mary's (MD) Capital 8 10 61 32 135 56 16 127 199 0.10 56 Oneonta SUNYAC 9 9 36 23 91 60 45 99 204 0.10 57 Swarthmore Centennial 10 6 33 49 53 66 78 60 204 0.10 58 Clarkson Liberty League 11 5 63 61 56 61 92 52 205 0.10 59 Stevens Empire Eight 8 10 37 29 96 53 23 129 205 0.10 60 Vassar Liberty League 12 4 49 68 38 64 109 32 205 0.10 61 Nazareth Empire Eight 9 8 43 44 83 70 42 95 207 0.10 62 Farmingdale Stat Skyline 15 3 72 132 23 69 115 26 210 0.10 63 Occidental SCIAC 8 10 62 51 161 68 13 133 214 0.10 64 Washington & Lee Old Dominion 10 10 59 52 132 58 22 134 214 0.10 65 Shenandoah Old Dominion 12 5 65 89 61 62 94 59 215 0.10 66 Chapman SCIAC 14 6 54 86 69 71 102 43 216 0.10 67 Guilford Old Dominion 15 2 47 100 19 28 167 21 216 0.10 68 Castleton State NEAC East 10 8 107 107 90 79 56 89 224 0.10 69 Springfield NEWMAC 11 8 45 41 95 57 61 113 231 0.10 70 Plymouth State Little East 12 3 44 99 36 54 143 35 232 0.10 71 Westfield State MASCAC 11 5 92 127 66 75 91 66 232 0.10 72 Wheaton NEWMAC 11 7 70 56 88 72 69 92 233 0.10 73 Kean Skyline 13 6 97 142 63 84 83 67 234 0.10 74 Pomona-Pitzer SCIAC 11 8 84 80 129 78 67 91 236 0.10 75 Gordon Comm. Coast 12 3 82 125 33 65 144 33 242 0.10 76 Worcester State MASCAC 13 6 143 160 78 81 96 72 249 0.10 77 Southern Maine Little East 12 8 93 85 108 73 66 112 251 0.10 78 Scranton Landmark 9 6 53 59 92 67 103 84 254 0.10 79 Muhlenberg Centennial 8 7 74 57 87 95 77 87 259 0.10 80 Simmons Great Northeas 10 4 146 196 49 76 138 49 263 0.10 81 Cabrini CSAC 11 8 77 98 93 87 84 96 267 0.10 82 Lynchburg Old Dominion 9 8 79 81 117 88 70 115 273 0.10 83 Saint Joseph's ( Great Northeas 11 7 152 167 105 74 98 105 277 0.10 84 Carthage Midwest 11 7 118 188 101 105 80 93 278 0.10 85 FDU-Florham Freedom 13 8 112 118 103 101 71 108 280 0.10 86 St. Joseph's (NY Skyline 12 6 90 129 82 90 110 81 281 0.10 87 Allegheny North Coast 10 5 100 151 68 104 121 57 282 0.10 88 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 5 10 30 9 113 89 55 139 283 0.10 89 Curry Comm. Coast 14 6 106 147 73 96 118 70 284 0.10 90 Oswego SUNYAC 8 8 60 48 100 80 108 100 288 0.10 91 Babson NEWMAC 9 8 35 47 112 83 97 118 298 0.10 92 Buffalo State SUNYAC 8 8 52 34 89 91 107 103 301 0.10 93 Albright Commonwealth 10 6 94 106 85 97 132 73 302 0.10 94 Goucher Landmark 7 9 89 62 147 92 75 135 302 0.10 95 Neumann CSAC 14 6 110 130 59 100 140 63 303 0.10 96 Marymount Capital 7 8 102 69 118 94 88 123 305 0.10 97 Claremont-Mudd-S SCIAC 8 10 73 64 172 107 62 138 307 0.10 98 Alma MIAA 15 3 130 229 20 86 205 17 308 0.10 99 Piedmont USA South Atl. 12 4 139 201 45 102 165 41 308 0.10 100 North Central Midwest 12 5 132 194 60 85 172 53 310 0.10 101 Drew Landmark 8 10 80 71 173 93 65 157 315 0.10 102 U. of New Englan Comm. Coast 7 10 104 77 151 112 40 166 318 0.10 103 Emerson Great Northeas 10 7 134 168 86 98 135 86 319 0.10 104 Keene State Little East 11 7 64 83 98 77 152 94 323 0.10 105 Greensboro USA South Atl. 9 10 142 134 169 103 63 158 324 0.10 106 Arcadia Freedom 14 5 114 166 51 121 159 51 331 0.10 107 Emmanuel Great Northeas 9 5 159 199 74 106 154 71 331 0.10 108 Randolph-Macon Old Dominion 12 6 91 115 84 82 175 80 337 0.10 109 Colorado College SCAC 7 10 87 66 142 111 86 142 339 0.10 110 Utica Empire Eight 9 6 76 91 77 108 147 88 343 0.10 111 Potsdam SUNYAC 4 10 99 38 150 115 76 154 345 0.10 112 Ursinus Centennial 4 12 75 30 182 110 54 189 353 0.10 113 Wesleyan (CT) NESCAC 5 10 46 13 125 119 87 147 353 0.10 114 Otterbein Independent 8 7 161 179 121 120 123 111 354 0.10 115 Mount Union Independent 13 1 78 231 15 114 227 15 356 0.10 116 Wellesley NEWMAC 7 7 108 67 124 113 120 124 357 0.10 117 Centre SAA 9 7 126 138 79 99 178 82 359 0.10 118 Pacific (OR) Independent 9 4 113 152 52 122 183 54 359 0.10 119 Rivier Great Northeas 8 7 164 200 122 123 122 121 366 0.10 120 Hope MIAA 6 9 173 159 143 117 125 132 374 0.10 121 Thomas NEAC East 11 5 171 209 65 124 190 64 378 0.10 122 Medaille NEAC West 11 5 175 226 64 133 187 62 382 0.10 123 Thiel Independent 11 7 136 176 109 118 162 102 382 0.10 124 Ferrum USA South Atl. 13 4 109 191 43 109 231 44 384 0.10 125 Widener Commonwealth 8 9 95 82 152 127 111 148 386 0.10 126 New Paltz SUNYAC 3 10 88 43 158 132 93 162 387 0.10 127 Western Connecti Little East 7 10 83 73 177 116 95 176 387 0.10 128 Elmira Empire Eight 8 9 103 79 134 135 114 140 389 0.10 129 Ohio Wesleyan North Coast 3 13 145 93 231 134 39 223 396 0.10 130 Eastern Connecti Little East 7 12 101 75 197 128 72 201 401 0.10 131 Mount Saint Mary Skyline 10 8 128 145 130 131 142 128 401 0.10 132 Frostburg State Capital 4 11 121 58 165 129 104 171 404 0.10 133 Immaculata CSAC 11 7 137 180 104 147 157 104 408 0.10 134 Oberlin North Coast 4 11 131 90 202 126 89 194 409 0.10 135 Wesley Capital 6 9 141 117 138 148 119 146 413 0.10 136 Ramapo Skyline 6 10 165 124 170 145 100 173 418 0.10 137 Colby-Sawyer NEAC East 7 9 162 156 153 138 130 152 420 0.10 138 Norwich Great Northeas 6 9 179 187 160 142 117 165 424 0.10 139 Lycoming Commonwealth 4 12 123 94 220 150 73 202 425 0.10 140 Mount St. Joseph Midwest 7 6 196 214 81 137 212 79 428 0.10 141 Wilkes Freedom 10 4 125 195 50 155 224 50 429 0.10 142 Albion MIAA 5 9 197 178 163 154 127 156 437 0.10 143 Saint Vincent Independent 11 5 140 205 71 141 228 69 438 0.10 144 Millsaps SAA 8 6 149 186 99 144 199 98 441 0.10 145 MIT NEWMAC 6 11 119 88 195 136 113 195 444 0.10 146 Rutgers-Camden Independent 6 9 168 157 148 158 133 155 446 0.10 147 Alfred Empire Eight 5 7 148 109 111 149 173 125 447 0.10 148 Morrisville NEAC West 10 8 144 184 107 130 207 110 447 0.10 149 Marywood CSAC 7 9 150 133 155 153 145 153 451 0.10 150 Skidmore Liberty League 3 13 85 33 225 140 82 229 451 0.10 151 Whittier SCIAC 3 14 122 65 237 156 68 232 456 0.10 152 Concordia-Wiscon Midwest 7 8 183 213 126 139 197 122 458 0.10 153 Rochester Liberty League 2 13 86 31 221 151 81 226 458 0.10 154 Bridgewater Old Dominion 6 10 116 97 178 146 136 178 460 0.10 155 Regis (MA) NECC 13 6 170 238 76 171 221 75 467 0.10 156 Olivet MIAA 2 11 199 153 194 162 116 192 470 0.10 157 Fitchburg State MASCAC 6 12 181 155 212 172 90 212 474 0.10 158 Alvernia Commonwealth 6 9 115 72 149 125 215 136 476 0.10 159 DePauw North Coast 4 8 163 144 146 152 181 143 476 0.10 160 Mass.-Dartmouth Little East 7 9 153 143 156 163 155 160 478 0.10 161 Berry SAA 8 8 169 177 136 143 201 137 481 0.10 162 Virginia Wesleya Old Dominion 4 12 120 78 217 164 99 220 483 0.10 163 Bard Liberty League 5 11 155 96 192 165 128 191 484 0.10 164 Huntingdon Independent 8 6 189 217 97 167 220 97 484 0.10 165 Salve Regina Comm. Coast 3 11 138 103 208 169 106 209 484 0.10 166 Roger Williams Comm. Coast 6 11 105 95 196 159 129 197 485 0.10 167 King's Freedom 6 10 124 110 176 166 146 180 492 0.10 168 Transylvania Independent 4 6 191 218 115 168 208 117 493 0.10 169 Hartwick Empire Eight 4 11 133 74 189 161 139 198 498 0.10 170 Mount Saint Vinc Skyline 7 9 166 169 157 184 156 161 501 0.10 171 Sweet Briar Old Dominion 8 9 129 139 159 173 168 163 504 0.10 172 Mount Ida Great Northeas 5 11 180 181 198 177 131 199 507 0.10 173 Canton Independent 5 9 157 148 141 174 185 149 508 0.10 174 Rhode Island Col Little East 5 9 151 135 167 170 169 169 508 0.10 175 Manhattanville Freedom 4 13 147 108 210 157 137 215 509 0.10 176 Puget Sound Independent 4 6 127 140 114 176 217 116 509 0.10 177 Notre Dame (MD) CSAC 8 7 167 189 120 180 213 120 513 0.10 178 Washington & Jef Independent 4 10 135 121 191 175 148 190 513 0.10 179 Beloit Midwest 4 7 194 230 131 183 202 131 516 0.10 180 Aurora Midwest 5 10 205 225 183 190 151 177 518 0.10 181 Cazenovia NEAC West 9 9 182 212 145 178 194 151 523 0.10 182 Calvin MIAA 4 12 188 185 188 160 184 183 527 0.10 183 Salem State MASCAC 4 10 174 170 190 182 158 188 528 0.10 184 Hiram North Coast 3 12 212 141 222 188 124 217 529 0.10 185 SUNYIT NEAC West 6 10 195 202 181 179 170 182 531 0.10 186 Maine-Farmington NEAC East 5 8 190 198 144 181 203 150 534 0.10 187 Bryn Mawr Centennial 2 15 192 84 235 198 101 236 535 0.10 188 Hood Commonwealth 3 12 187 116 223 191 134 213 538 0.10 189 Husson NEAC East 4 10 201 162 175 189 163 186 538 0.10 190 Eastern Freedom 1 14 158 76 236 194 112 237 543 0.10 191 Meredith USA South Atl. 5 10 186 190 166 185 196 164 545 0.10 192 Trine MIAA 5 6 193 234 110 204 236 106 546 0.10 193 Nichols Comm. Coast 4 11 156 131 201 197 149 203 549 0.10 194 Wentworth Tech Comm. Coast 1 11 185 120 214 193 141 216 550 0.10 195 Saint Joseph Great Northeas 5 9 204 224 168 199 188 170 557 0.10 196 Baldwin Wallace Independent 4 6 215 233 116 205 238 119 562 0.10 197 Birmingham-South SAA 5 9 172 174 171 186 204 172 562 0.10 198 Maritime Skyline 3 11 207 161 205 206 153 206 565 0.10 199 Wells NEAC West 6 9 198 220 140 196 225 145 566 0.10 200 Becker NECC 7 10 206 232 174 202 192 174 568 0.10 201 Sage Skyline 4 11 208 172 203 201 164 204 569 0.10 202 Agnes Scott USA South Atl. 3 7 213 207 133 209 232 130 571 0.10 203 Randolph Old Dominion 4 11 160 126 207 187 176 208 571 0.10 204 Centenary CSAC 5 10 178 175 184 200 189 184 573 0.10 205 Benedictine Midwest 1 11 233 204 211 208 161 211 580 0.10 206 Misericordia Freedom 0 16 177 114 241 215 126 241 582 0.10 207 St. Elizabeth NEAC West 6 8 210 237 139 217 223 144 584 0.10 208 Waynesburg Independent 1 9 231 164 162 211 206 167 584 0.10 209 Fontbonne Midwest 2 9 229 227 137 207 237 141 585 0.10 210 Bay Path NECC 0 5 241 241 106 241 241 107 589 0.10 211 LaGrange USA South Atl. 6 10 202 210 186 192 218 181 591 0.10 212 Smith NEWMAC 3 13 154 105 233 203 160 234 597 0.10 213 Daniel Webster NECC 1 6 236 240 127 238 240 126 604 0.10 214 Framingham State MASCAC 1 12 203 146 227 212 166 227 605 0.10 215 Old Westbury Skyline 2 14 209 150 238 220 150 238 608 0.10 216 Wheelock NECC 4 11 219 228 204 219 186 205 610 0.10 217 Houghton Empire Eight 1 12 200 128 224 216 171 224 611 0.10 218 Mass. Maritime MASCAC 2 12 217 192 226 213 174 225 612 0.10 219 Oglethorpe SAA 3 11 226 197 206 210 195 207 612 0.10 220 Hilbert Independent 2 8 222 221 154 221 233 159 613 0.10 221 Lancaster Bible NEAC West 4 12 214 206 219 214 177 222 613 0.10 222 Methodist USA South Atl. 1 11 228 193 180 223 216 175 614 0.10 223 Linfield Independent 0 9 220 119 187 227 210 187 624 0.10 224 Gwynedd-Mercy CSAC 3 13 176 149 232 218 179 233 630 0.10 225 Anna Maria Great Northeas 0 12 235 208 229 222 180 230 632 0.10 226 Hollins Old Dominion 1 12 218 123 228 224 182 228 634 0.10 227 New England Coll NEAC East 5 14 184 171 230 195 209 231 635 0.10 228 Elms NECC 5 10 225 239 185 225 230 185 640 0.10 229 Dallas SCAC 1 11 221 236 164 239 235 168 642 0.10 230 Purchase Skyline 0 11 211 154 216 229 198 219 646 0.10 231 Cedar Crest CSAC 2 11 223 183 209 226 211 210 647 0.10 232 Green Mountain NEAC East 2 10 216 215 193 228 226 193 647 0.10 233 Wilson NEAC West 0 10 238 216 200 231 219 200 650 0.10 234 Dubuque Midwest 1 11 240 235 179 240 239 179 658 0.10 235 Franciscan Independent 1 14 234 223 234 234 191 235 660 0.10 236 No. Carolina Wes USA South Atl. 0 12 232 203 199 232 234 196 662 0.10 237 Penn State-Abing NEAC West 2 14 227 211 239 230 193 239 662 0.10 238 Wilmington (OH) Independent 0 11 237 219 218 235 214 221 670 0.10 239 Loras Independent 1 13 239 222 213 233 229 214 676 0.10 240 Merchant Marine Independent 0 11 224 163 215 236 222 218 676 0.10 241 Rosemont CSAC 0 14 230 182 240 237 200 240 677 0.10