Conf = Liberty League             Region = New York     State = NY
   Nickname = Herons                 Coach  = Brighde Dougherty       

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.8819504    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 301 H St. John Fisher        Empire Eight  (15- 4, 82.8)     9-13   
 305 A Cortland               SUNYAC        (21- 2, 88.6)     5-15   
 309 A Nazareth               Empire Eight  ( 9- 8, 78.4)    14-11   
 314 N Hamilton               NESCAC        ( 9- 8, 82.5)    10-19   
 319 N Springfield            NEWMAC        (11- 8, 77.9)    10- 8   
 321 N Buffalo State          SUNYAC        ( 8- 8, 76.8)    14- 8   
 330 A Union                  Liberty Leagu ( 7- 7, 80.1)    15-14   
 405 H Rochester              Liberty Leagu ( 2-13, 72.7)    16-12   
 406 H RIT                    Liberty Leagu (10- 6, 79.3)    16- 8   
 412 A St. Lawrence           Liberty Leagu (12- 6, 78.6)     7- 8   
 413 A Clarkson               Liberty Leagu (11- 5, 75.9)    17- 6   
 416 H Ithaca                 Empire Eight  (12- 6, 83.5)     6-14   
 419 A Vassar                 Liberty Leagu (12- 4, 77.3)     9-10   
 420 A Bard                   Liberty Leagu ( 5-11, 64.6)    17- 3   
 426 H Rensselaer             Liberty Leagu (16- 4, 84.1)    12-10   
 427 H Skidmore               Liberty Leagu ( 3-13, 73.0)    13- 8   
 503 N St. Lawrence           Liberty Leagu (12- 6, 78.6)    11-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H St. John Fisher         9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.48
   305 A Cortland                5-15     -10   -10           0.00
   309 A Nazareth               14-11       3     0    +      2.90
   314 N Hamilton               10-19      -9    -2    ---   -6.39
   319 N Springfield            10- 8       2     1           0.02
   321 N Buffalo State          14- 8       6     3    +      2.90
   330 A Union                  15-14       1    -1    +      2.61
   405 H Rochester              16-12       4     8    --    -4.55
   406 H RIT                    16- 8       8     2    ++     5.98
   412 A St. Lawrence            7- 8      -1     0          -0.93
   413 A Clarkson               17- 6      11     2    +++    7.37
   416 H Ithaca                  6-14      -8    -2    --    -5.77
   419 A Vassar                  9-10      -1     1    -     -2.18
   420 A Bard                   17- 3      14    13           0.00
   426 H Rensselaer             12-10       2    -2    ++     4.83
   427 H Skidmore               13- 8       5     8    -     -3.26
   503 N St. Lawrence           11-12      -1     1    -     -2.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 N Hamilton               10-19      -9    -2    ---   -6.39
   405 H Rochester              16-12       4     8    --    -4.55
   416 H Ithaca                  6-14      -8    -2    --    -5.77
   301 H St. John Fisher         9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.48
   419 A Vassar                  9-10      -1     1    -     -2.18
   427 H Skidmore               13- 8       5     8    -     -3.26
   503 N St. Lawrence           11-12      -1     1    -     -2.32

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A Clarkson               17- 6      11     2    +++    7.37
   406 H RIT                    16- 8       8     2    ++     5.98
   426 H Rensselaer             12-10       2    -2    ++     4.83
   309 A Nazareth               14-11       3     0    +      2.90
   321 N Buffalo State          14- 8       6     3    +      2.90
   330 A Union                  15-14       1    -1    +      2.61
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.88 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.06 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    43
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   234
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    67
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   14.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.0
/