Conf = Commonwealth               Region = Metro        State = MD
   Nickname = Mustangs               Coach  = Kathy Railey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.8525467    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 223 A Salisbury              Capital       (23- 0, 89.8)     5-19   
 302 A Roanoke                Old Dominion  ( 9- 8, 75.5)    15- 3   
 308 H St. Mary's (MD)        Capital       ( 8-10, 76.0)     8- 7   
 313 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps SCIAC         ( 8-10, 74.6)    10- 8   
 315 A Occidental             SCIAC         ( 8-10, 75.9)     7- 5   
 320 H Hope                   MIAA          ( 6- 9, 62.0)    19- 3   
 323 H Wittenberg             North Coast   (12- 4, 76.3)    13-10   
 328 A Lebanon Valley         Commonwealth  (13- 5, 78.8)     9- 8   
 403 A Goucher                Landmark      ( 7- 9, 72.4)    17- 6   
 406 H Alvernia               Commonwealth  ( 6- 9, 70.0)    19- 5   
 410 H Elizabethtown          Commonwealth  (12- 7, 78.4)    21-12   
 413 A Albright               Commonwealth  (10- 6, 72.1)    16- 7   
 417 H Messiah                Commonwealth  (10- 7, 80.6)    13- 8   
 420 H Widener                Commonwealth  ( 8- 9, 72.0)    20- 7   
 423 A Hood                   Commonwealth  ( 3-12, 60.0)    18- 2   
 427 A Lycoming               Commonwealth  ( 4-12, 68.8)    17- 6   
 502 H Lebanon Valley         Commonwealth  (13- 5, 78.8)    17-11   
 504 H Elizabethtown          Commonwealth  (12- 7, 78.4)    12-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 A Salisbury               5-19     -14   -10           0.00
   302 A Roanoke                15- 3      12     3    +++    6.01
   308 H St. Mary's (MD)         8- 7       1     6    --    -5.28
   313 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 10- 8       2     4    -     -2.85
   315 A Occidental              7- 5       2     3          -1.54
   320 H Hope                   19- 3      16    20           0.00
   323 H Wittenberg             13-10       3     5    -     -2.98
   328 A Lebanon Valley          9- 8       1     0           0.31
   403 A Goucher                17- 6      11     7    +      2.98
   406 H Alvernia               19- 5      14    12           0.00
   410 H Elizabethtown          21-12       9     3    ++     5.15
   413 A Albright               16- 7       9     7           1.64
   417 H Messiah                13- 8       5     1    +      3.40
   420 H Widener                20- 7      13    10           0.00
   423 A Hood                   18- 2      16    19           0.00
   427 A Lycoming               17- 6      11    10           0.00
   502 H Lebanon Valley         17-11       6     3    +      2.53
   504 H Elizabethtown          12-14      -2     3    --    -5.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H St. Mary's (MD)         8- 7       1     6    --    -5.28
   504 H Elizabethtown          12-14      -2     3    --    -5.85
   313 A Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 10- 8       2     4    -     -2.85
   323 H Wittenberg             13-10       3     5    -     -2.98

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Roanoke                15- 3      12     3    +++    6.01
   410 H Elizabethtown          21-12       9     3    ++     5.15
   403 A Goucher                17- 6      11     7    +      2.98
   417 H Messiah                13- 8       5     1    +      3.40
   502 H Lebanon Valley         17-11       6     3    +      2.53
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.85 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 48.55 Local SOS Rank.............    55
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   201
 Local Quality Win Rating. 50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   11.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   11.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/