Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf            Region = West/Midwest State = TN
   Nickname = Commodores             Coach  = Cathy Swezey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.6007996    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 203 A Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  (13- 6, 89.7)     7-15   
 210 H Kennesaw State         Atlantic Sun  ( 1-10, 64.6)    22- 3   
 216 H Denver                 MPSF          (18- 3, 92.5)     9-10   
 220 A Boston College         Atlantic Coas (12- 8, 91.3)     8-13   
 224 H Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (19- 3, 97.5)     8-15   
 302 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (14- 6, 94.8)    12-15   
 306 A Louisville             Big East      (11- 6, 92.7)    10-13   
 313 H Notre Dame             Big East      (12- 5, 93.1)    11-12   
 317 A Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co (14- 7, 93.2)    14-20   
 321 A Penn                   Ivy League    (11- 6, 91.3)    13-14  o
 326 H Stanford               MPSF          (14- 6, 92.5)     4-15   
 330 A Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 92.0)    11-12  o
 401 H Harvard                Ivy League    ( 3-11, 87.5)    15-11   
 407 A Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 8-10, 93.0)     4-19   
 414 H Florida                Amer. Lac. Co (18- 3, 99.1)    10-21   
 420 H North Carolina         Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 98.3)     5-20   
 502 N Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co (14- 7, 93.2)    14-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   203 A Jacksonville            7-15      -8    -3    --    -4.74
   210 H Kennesaw State         22- 3      19    24           0.00
   216 H Denver                  9-10      -1    -3    +      2.69
   220 A Boston College          8-13      -5    -4          -0.15
   224 H Northwestern            8-15      -7    -8           1.75
   302 A Duke                   12-15      -3    -8    ++     5.40
   306 A Louisville             10-13      -3    -6    +      3.32
   313 H Notre Dame             11-12      -1    -4    +      3.33
   317 A Penn State             14-20      -6    -6           0.79
   321 A Penn                   13-14  o   -1    -4    +      3.85
   326 H Stanford                4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.27
   330 A Johns Hopkins          11-12  o   -1    -5    ++     4.55
   401 H Harvard                15-11       4     1    +      2.71
   407 A Ohio State              4-19     -15    -6    -     -3.46
   414 H Florida                10-21     -11   -10           0.00
   420 H North Carolina          5-20     -15    -9          -0.52
   502 N Penn State             14-16      -2    -5    +      3.60

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Stanford                4-15     -11    -3    ---   -6.27
   203 A Jacksonville            7-15      -8    -3    --    -4.74
   407 A Ohio State              4-19     -15    -6    -     -3.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Duke                   12-15      -3    -8    ++     5.40
   330 A Johns Hopkins          11-12  o   -1    -5    ++     4.55
   216 H Denver                  9-10      -1    -3    +      2.69
   306 A Louisville             10-13      -3    -6    +      3.32
   313 H Notre Dame             11-12      -1    -4    +      3.33
   321 A Penn                   13-14  o   -1    -4    +      3.85
   401 H Harvard                15-11       4     1    +      2.71
   502 N Penn State             14-16      -2    -5    +      3.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.60 Local Power Rank...........    46
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.10 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    57
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    93
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    78
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  2-15 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -9.3
/