Conf = Atlantic Coast             Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Jenny Levy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   98.2692108    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 209 H Florida                Amer. Lac. Co (18- 3, 99.1)     3- 5   
 215 H Towson                 Colonial      (10- 9, 92.5)     9- 6   
 217 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 7-10, 90.4)    14- 7   
 222 H Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (19- 3, 97.5)    11- 8   
 302 A Penn                   Ivy League    (11- 6, 91.3)    11- 5   
 309 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas (11-10, 94.6)     8- 7   
 312 A High Point             Big South     (10- 9, 87.6)    15- 6   
 316 H Georgetown             Big East      (13- 6, 94.3)    17-11   
 320 H Cornell                Ivy League    (10- 6, 91.4)    11-10   
 323 H Boston College         Atlantic Coas (12- 8, 91.3)    19-11   
 328 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (14- 6, 94.8)    12-11  o
 330 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 8- 8, 89.3)    18-11   
 406 A Maryland               Atlantic Coas (22- 1, 99.9)    13-14   
 412 H Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  (13- 6, 89.7)    16- 4   
 420 A Vanderbilt             Amer. Lac. Co ( 2-15, 87.6)    20- 5   
 426 H Boston College         Atlantic Coas (12- 8, 91.3)    16- 6   
 428 H Maryland               Atlantic Coas (22- 1, 99.9)     8-12   
 512 H Loyola                 Big East      (11- 9, 93.5)    19- 9   
 518 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas (11-10, 94.6)    13- 9   
 524 N Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (19- 3, 97.5)    11- 4   
 526 N Maryland               Atlantic Coas (22- 1, 99.9)    13-12 3o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 H Florida                 3- 5      -2     0    -     -2.33
   215 H Towson                  9- 6       3     6    -     -3.98
   217 H Richmond               14- 7       7     9    -     -2.09
   222 H Northwestern           11- 8       3     1           1.08
   302 A Penn                   11- 5       6     5           0.18
   309 H Virginia                8- 7       1     4    -     -3.88
   312 A High Point             15- 6       9     9          -0.44
   316 H Georgetown             17-11       6     5           0.88
   320 H Cornell                11-10       1     8    ---   -7.02
   323 H Boston College         19-11       8     8          -0.19
   328 A Duke                   12-11  o    1     2          -1.27
   330 A Virginia Tech          18-11       7     7          -0.77
   406 A Maryland               13-14      -1    -2           1.82
   412 H Jacksonville           16- 4      12     9           0.21
   420 A Vanderbilt             20- 5      15     9           0.52
   426 H Boston College         16- 6      10     8           1.81
   428 H Maryland                8-12      -4     0    -     -3.56
   512 H Loyola                 19- 9      10     5    ++     4.01
   518 H Virginia               13- 9       4     4          -0.88
   524 N Northwestern           11- 4       7     0    +++    6.27
   526 N Maryland               13-12 3o    1    -1    +      2.63

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Cornell                11-10       1     8    ---   -7.02
   209 H Florida                 3- 5      -2     0    -     -2.33
   215 H Towson                  9- 6       3     6    -     -3.98
   217 H Richmond               14- 7       7     9    -     -2.09
   309 H Virginia                8- 7       1     4    -     -3.88
   428 H Maryland                8-12      -4     0    -     -3.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   524 N Northwestern           11- 4       7     0    +++    6.27
   512 H Loyola                 19- 9      10     5    ++     4.01
   526 N Maryland               13-12 3o    1    -1    +      2.63
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 98.27 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 85.29 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.72 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   15.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.215.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 18- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/