Conf = Colonial                   Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Monarchs               Coach  = Heather Holt            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.4934692    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 A Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 92.0)    10-20   
 223 A Louisville             Big East      (11- 6, 92.7)     3-21   
 226 H William & Mary         Colonial      ( 5-11, 84.7)    15- 9   
 302 A Jacksonville           Atlantic Sun  (13- 6, 89.7)     4-14   
 305 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 7-10, 90.4)     7-23   
 309 H American               Patriot Leagu ( 8-10, 85.5)    15-11   
 317 A Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   ( 8- 8, 83.4)     9- 7   
 320 H Longwood               Big South     (10- 8, 84.0)    11-17   
 323 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 8- 8, 89.3)     8-16   
 327 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas (11-10, 94.6)    12-16   
 330 H Oregon                 MPSF          ( 8- 9, 87.1)     9-10   
 405 H Hofstra                Colonial      (11- 8, 89.5)     6-15   
 407 H Drexel                 Colonial      (11- 7, 89.4)     4- 8   
 412 A Delaware               Colonial      (10- 6, 90.3)     7- 8   
 414 A Towson                 Colonial      (10- 9, 92.5)     9-16   
 419 H George Mason           Colonial      ( 5-11, 83.3)    15-10   
 421 A James Madison          Colonial      (11- 6, 91.8)     2-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 A Johns Hopkins          10-20     -10    -9          -0.34
   223 A Louisville              3-21     -18   -10           0.00
   226 H William & Mary         15- 9       6     0    +++    6.05
   302 A Jacksonville            4-14     -10    -7    -     -2.64
   305 A Richmond                7-23     -16    -8          -1.94
   309 H American               15-11       4     0    ++     4.83
   317 A Saint Joseph's          9- 7       2    -1    +      3.10
   320 H Longwood               11-17      -6     0    ---   -6.71
   323 A Virginia Tech           8-16      -8    -7          -0.99
   327 H Virginia               12-16      -4    -9    ++     5.89
   330 H Oregon                  9-10      -1    -2           1.45
   405 H Hofstra                 6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.18
   407 H Drexel                  4- 8      -4    -4           0.73
   412 A Delaware                7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.01
   414 A Towson                  9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00
   419 H George Mason           15-10       5     1    +      3.60
   421 A James Madison           2-17     -15    -9          -0.47

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Longwood               11-17      -6     0    ---   -6.71
   405 H Hofstra                 6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.18
   302 A Jacksonville            4-14     -10    -7    -     -2.64

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   226 H William & Mary         15- 9       6     0    +++    6.05
   412 A Delaware                7- 8      -1    -8    +++    7.01
   309 H American               15-11       4     0    ++     4.83
   327 H Virginia               12-16      -4    -9    ++     5.89
   317 A Saint Joseph's          9- 7       2    -1    +      3.10
   414 A Towson                  9-16      -7   -10    +      3.00
   419 H George Mason           15-10       5     1    +      3.60
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.49 Local Power Rank...........    68
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.59 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.44 Local RPI Rank.............    70
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    70
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    92
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.7
/