Conf = Commonwealth               Region = Metro        State = PA
   Nickname = Blue Jays              Coach  = Rob Brooks              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.3926086    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 H Dickinson              Centennial    ( 7- 9, 79.2)    13-11   
 223 A McDaniel               Centennial    (11- 9, 77.2)    14-15  o
 309 N Sewanee                SAA           (13- 7, 69.4)    19-11   
 316 H Catholic (DC)          Landmark      ( 8-10, 77.6)    14-13 2o
 319 A Washington College     Centennial    (13- 5, 81.5)    10-15   
 321 H Amherst                NESCAC        ( 9- 6, 83.6)     8-18   
 402 H Eastern                Freedom       ( 1-14, 63.7)    20- 5   
 403 H Hood                   Commonwealth  ( 3-12, 60.0)    26- 2   
 406 A Widener                Commonwealth  ( 8- 9, 72.0)    18-11   
 408 H Susquehanna            Landmark      (17- 1, 81.9)    10-17   
 410 A Stevenson              Commonwealth  (16- 2, 80.9)    12-21   
 413 H Messiah                Commonwealth  (10- 7, 80.6)     8- 9  o
 417 A Lycoming               Commonwealth  ( 4-12, 68.8)    23-12   
 420 H Albright               Commonwealth  (10- 6, 72.1)    19-15   
 423 A Alvernia               Commonwealth  ( 6- 9, 70.0)    21-11   
 427 H Lebanon Valley         Commonwealth  (13- 5, 78.8)    12-10   
 502 A Messiah                Commonwealth  (10- 7, 80.6)    17-15  o
 504 A Stevenson              Commonwealth  (16- 2, 80.9)    14-12   
 508 A Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (16- 5, 85.5)     7-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Dickinson              13-11       2     0           1.42
   223 A McDaniel               14-15  o   -1     0          -0.76
   309 N Sewanee                19-11       8     8          -0.95
   316 H Catholic (DC)          14-13 2o    1     2          -1.16
   319 A Washington College     10-15      -5    -4          -0.48
   321 H Amherst                 8-18     -10    -3    ---   -6.15
   402 H Eastern                20- 5      15    16           0.00
   403 H Hood                   26- 2      24    19           0.00
   406 A Widener                18-11       7     5           1.96
   408 H Susquehanna            10-17      -7    -2    --    -4.86
   410 A Stevenson              12-21      -9    -3    --    -5.15
   413 H Messiah                 8- 9  o   -1     0          -0.14
   417 A Lycoming               23-12      11     8           1.80
   420 H Albright               19-15       4     7    -     -3.68
   423 A Alvernia               21-11      10     7    +      2.96
   427 H Lebanon Valley         12-10       2     1           0.99
   502 A Messiah                17-15  o    2    -3    ++     5.63
   504 A Stevenson              14-12       2    -3    ++     5.85
   508 A Franklin & Marshall     7-17     -10    -8          -1.46

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Amherst                 8-18     -10    -3    ---   -6.15
   408 H Susquehanna            10-17      -7    -2    --    -4.86
   410 A Stevenson              12-21      -9    -3    --    -5.15
   420 H Albright               19-15       4     7    -     -3.68

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Messiah                17-15  o    2    -3    ++     5.63
   504 A Stevenson              14-12       2    -3    ++     5.85
   423 A Alvernia               21-11      10     7    +      2.96
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.39 Local Power Rank...........    42
 Local SOS Rating......... 51.16 Local SOS Rank.............    46
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    68
 Local Quality Win Rating.-90.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    80
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.0
/