Conf = Independent                Region = NAIA         State = OH
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Torrey McGowan          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   75.5348358    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 223 A Seton Hill             East Coast    ( 7-10, 64.7)     8-17   
 226 A Lenoir-Rhyne           Independent   ( 6-10, 60.2)    20-11   
 228 A Rollins                Independent   (13- 4, 73.9)     5-23   
 304 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     ( 6- 8, 65.2)    15-13  o
 305 N Regis (CO)             WILA          (12- 1, 67.1)    14-21   
 319 H Niagara                Metro Atlanti ( 2-11, 72.3)     9-12   
 322 H Urbana                 Independent   ( 2-13, 50.0)    18- 3   
 326 H West Virginia Wesleyan Independent   ( 1-10, 51.0)    18- 3   
 330 A Tiffin                 Independent   ( 7- 9, 62.2)    15-14   
 402 H Indiana (PA)           PSAC          (11- 7, 67.5)     7-19   
 408 A Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   ( 3-12, 67.0)    21-10   
 412 A Urbana                 Independent   ( 2-13, 50.0)    18- 4   
 414 H Tiffin                 Independent   ( 7- 9, 62.2)    17- 9   
 419 H Monroe                               (19- 1, 81.9)    14-13 2o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 A Seton Hill              8-17      -9     0    ---   -8.33
   226 A Lenoir-Rhyne           20-11       9     3    ++     5.18
   228 A Rollins                 5-23     -18    -9          -0.07
   304 A Belmont Abbey          15-13  o    2    -1    +      3.15
   305 N Regis (CO)             14-21      -7    -2    --    -4.20
   319 H Niagara                 9-12      -3    -7          n/a  
   322 H Urbana                 18- 3      15    14           0.00
   326 H West Virginia Wesleyan 18- 3      15    13           0.00
   330 A Tiffin                 15-14       1     1          -0.81
   402 H Indiana (PA)            7-19     -12    -2    ---   -7.05
   408 A Ohio Wesleyan          21-10      11    -3          n/a  
   412 A Urbana                 18- 4      14    14           0.00
   414 H Tiffin                 17- 9       8     2    ++     5.69
   419 H Monroe                 14-13 2o    1   -16          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 A Seton Hill              8-17      -9     0    ---   -8.33
   319 H Niagara                 9-12   
   402 H Indiana (PA)            7-19     -12    -2    ---   -7.05
   408 A Ohio Wesleyan          21-10   
   419 H Monroe                 14-13 2o
   305 N Regis (CO)             14-21      -7    -2    --    -4.20
   319 H Niagara                 9-12   
   408 A Ohio Wesleyan          21-10   
   419 H Monroe                 14-13 2o
   319 H Niagara                 9-12   
   408 A Ohio Wesleyan          21-10   
   419 H Monroe                 14-13 2o

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H Niagara                 9-12   
   408 A Ohio Wesleyan          21-10   
   419 H Monroe                 14-13 2o
   226 A Lenoir-Rhyne           20-11       9     3    ++     5.18
   319 H Niagara                 9-12   
   408 A Ohio Wesleyan          21-10   
   414 H Tiffin                 17- 9       8     2    ++     5.69
   419 H Monroe                 14-13 2o
   304 A Belmont Abbey          15-13  o    2    -1    +      3.15
   319 H Niagara                 9-12   
   408 A Ohio Wesleyan          21-10   
   419 H Monroe                 14-13 2o
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 64.26 Local Power Rank...........    39
 Local SOS Rating......... 31.39 Local SOS Rank.............    50
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.48 Local RPI Rank.............    32
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    42
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.7
/