Conf = Independent                Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Bears                  Coach  = Rachel Cibulas          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   70.7767563    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 H Queens                 Carolinas     ( 8- 9, 68.1)     5-26   
 219 H Pfeiffer               Carolinas     (12- 6, 70.0)     5-21   
 226 H Notre Dame (OH)        Independent   ( 9- 5, 64.3)    11-20   
 301 H Converse               Carolinas     ( 3-14, 59.1)    18-17   
 303 H Shippensburg           PSAC          ( 8- 8, 65.1)     4-17   
 305 A Erskine                Carolinas     ( 1-15, 56.1)    17- 7   
 307 H Urbana                 Independent   ( 2-13, 50.0)    19- 5   
 311 H Edinboro               PSAC          ( 5-11, 64.4)     6-12   
 321 H Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     ( 6- 8, 65.2)     6-17   
 327 A St. Andrews            Carolinas     ( 6-10, 64.3)     8-11   
 401 H Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 3-10, 57.4)    18- 6   
 409 H No. Carolina Wesleyan  USA South Atl ( 0-13, 53.7)    17- 2   
 416 N Adams State            WILA          ( 0-10, 48.0)    16- 2   
 417 N Regis (CO)             WILA          (12- 1, 67.1)     3-17   
 429 H Limestone              Carolinas     (18- 2, 73.3)     2-21   
 504 H Rollins                Independent   (13- 4, 73.9)     7-22   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H Queens                  5-26     -21    -7    -     -2.34
   219 H Pfeiffer                5-21     -16    -9          -0.39
   226 H Notre Dame (OH)        11-20      -9    -3    --    -5.18
   301 H Converse               18-17       1     1          -0.30
   303 H Shippensburg            4-17     -13    -4    --    -5.36
   305 A Erskine                17- 7      10     3    +++    6.21
   307 H Urbana                 19- 5      14    10           0.00
   311 H Edinboro                6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.04
   321 H Belmont Abbey           6-17     -11    -4    --    -5.28
   327 A St. Andrews             8-11      -3    -4           1.39
   401 H Lees-McRae             18- 6      12     3    +++    6.96
   409 H No. Carolina Wesleyan  17- 2      15     7          n/a  
   416 N Adams State            16- 2      14    12           0.00
   417 N Regis (CO)              3-17     -14    -6    -     -3.13
   429 H Limestone               2-21     -19   -12           0.00
   504 H Rollins                 7-22     -15   -13           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H No. Carolina Wesleyan  17- 2   
   226 H Notre Dame (OH)        11-20      -9    -3    --    -5.18
   303 H Shippensburg            4-17     -13    -4    --    -5.36
   321 H Belmont Abbey           6-17     -11    -4    --    -5.28
   409 H No. Carolina Wesleyan  17- 2   
   216 H Queens                  5-26     -21    -7    -     -2.34
   311 H Edinboro                6-12      -6    -3    -     -2.04
   409 H No. Carolina Wesleyan  17- 2   
   417 N Regis (CO)              3-17     -14    -6    -     -3.13

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Erskine                17- 7      10     3    +++    6.21
   401 H Lees-McRae             18- 6      12     3    +++    6.96
   409 H No. Carolina Wesleyan  17- 2   
   409 H No. Carolina Wesleyan  17- 2   
   409 H No. Carolina Wesleyan  17- 2   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 60.19 Local Power Rank...........    48
 Local SOS Rating......... 32.41 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    51
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    32
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    54
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....  -16.0
/