Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf            Region = West/Midwest State = TN
   Nickname = Commodores             Coach  = Cathy Swezey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.2441864    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 H North Carolina         Atlantic Coas (16- 5, 89.3)    13-14  o
 221 H UMBC                   America East  ( 9- 8, 78.7)    15- 6   
 227 H Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (23- 0, 99.9)    10-22   
 307 A Boston University      America East  (15- 4, 87.8)    19-18   
 311 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (15- 6, 91.1)    16-22   
 315 A Cincinnati             Big East      ( 7-10, 72.5)    19- 7   
 322 A Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 84.2)    12- 7   
 328 H Binghamton             America East  ( 3-13, 68.9)    22- 7   
 330 H Delaware               Colonial      (10- 8, 80.6)    20-10   
 404 H Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-12, 77.1)    18- 8   
 408 A New Hampshire          America East  (12- 7, 84.1)    11- 7   
 412 A Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 85.7)    13-15   
 415 H Notre Dame             Big East      (16- 5, 89.6)    18-11   
 421 A Cornell                Ivy League    ( 9- 7, 81.7)     4-11   
 430 H Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-12, 77.1)    14- 8   
 501 N Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (23- 0, 99.9)    10-15   
 510 A Notre Dame             Big East      (16- 5, 89.6)    13-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H North Carolina         13-14  o   -1    -1           0.55
   221 H UMBC                   15- 6       9     8           0.00
   227 H Northwestern           10-22     -12   -12           0.00
   307 A Boston University      19-18       1    -2    +      3.26
   311 A Duke                   16-22      -6    -5          -0.45
   315 A Cincinnati             19- 7      12    13           0.00
   322 A Penn State             12- 7       5     1    +      3.70
   328 H Binghamton             22- 7      15    18           0.00
   330 H Delaware               20-10      10     7    +      2.90
   404 H Johns Hopkins          18- 8      10    10           0.00
   408 A New Hampshire          11- 7       4     1    +      2.63
   412 A Ohio State             13-15      -2     0          -1.80
   415 H Notre Dame             18-11       7    -1    +++    8.90
   421 A Cornell                 4-11      -7     3    ---  -10.85
   430 H Johns Hopkins          14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00
   501 N Northwestern           10-15      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   510 A Notre Dame             13-19      -6    -4          -1.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Cornell                 4-11      -7     3    ---  -10.85
   430 H Johns Hopkins          14- 8       6    10    --    -4.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Notre Dame             18-11       7    -1    +++    8.90
   501 N Northwestern           10-15      -5   -13    ++     5.00
   307 A Boston University      19-18       1    -2    +      3.26
   322 A Penn State             12- 7       5     1    +      3.70
   330 H Delaware               20-10      10     7    +      2.90
   408 A New Hampshire          11- 7       4     1    +      2.63
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.62 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.96 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    81
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.7
/