Conf = Atlantic Coast             Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Jenny Levy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.9801636    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 A Vanderbilt             Amer. Lac. Co (10- 7, 86.6)    14-13  o
 220 H Oregon                 MPSF          (12- 5, 80.2)    15- 6   
 222 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 6-12, 76.2)    15- 8   
 302 H Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (23- 0, 99.9)     7-12   
 306 A Penn                   Ivy League    (15- 3, 90.9)     2-11   
 309 A Denver                 MPSF          (10- 8, 79.6)    12- 6   
 314 H Virginia               Atlantic Coas (11- 8, 87.6)    12- 8   
 318 H Old Dominion           Colonial      (11- 5, 82.7)    16- 9   
 321 H Georgetown             Big East      (13- 6, 87.1)    12- 7   
 325 A Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 7-10, 77.2)    12- 8   
 328 H Boston College         Atlantic Coas ( 9- 9, 80.9)    12- 8   
 403 A Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co (11- 6, 85.7)    10- 8   
 405 H Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 9- 8, 84.2)    11- 7   
 411 A Maryland               Atlantic Coas (21- 1, 94.8)     8-13   
 417 A Duke                   Atlantic Coas (15- 6, 91.1)     9- 7   
 419 H Stanford               MPSF          (14- 4, 86.8)    13-10   
 424 N Duke                   Atlantic Coas (15- 6, 91.1)     4-14   
 510 H Towson                 Colonial      (13- 6, 84.2)    15- 4   
 516 H Notre Dame             Big East      (16- 5, 89.6)    16-10   
 522 N Maryland               Atlantic Coas (21- 1, 94.8)     8- 7   
 524 N Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (23- 0, 99.9)     7-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 A Vanderbilt             14-13  o    1     1          -0.55
   220 H Oregon                 15- 6       9    10          -1.00
   222 H Richmond               15- 8       7    14    -     -3.00
   302 H Northwestern            7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.50
   306 A Penn                    2-11      -9    -2    ---   -6.25
   309 A Denver                 12- 6       6     8    -     -2.55
   314 H Virginia               12- 8       4     2           1.22
   318 H Old Dominion           16- 9       7     7          -0.67
   321 H Georgetown             12- 7       5     3           1.71
   325 A Virginia Tech          12- 8       4    10    ---   -6.00
   328 H Boston College         12- 8       4     9    --    -5.53
   403 A Ohio State             10- 8       2     2          -0.47
   405 H Penn State             11- 7       4     6    -     -2.21
   411 A Maryland                8-13      -5    -6           1.68
   417 A Duke                    9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.88
   419 H Stanford               13-10       3     3          -0.58
   424 N Duke                    4-14     -10    -1    ---   -8.23
   510 H Towson                 15- 4      11     6    +      3.80
   516 H Notre Dame             16-10       6     0    ++     5.24
   522 N Maryland                8- 7       1    -5    +++    6.56
   524 N Northwestern            7-21     -14   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Penn                    2-11      -9    -2    ---   -6.25
   325 A Virginia Tech          12- 8       4    10    ---   -6.00
   424 N Duke                    4-14     -10    -1    ---   -8.23
   328 H Boston College         12- 8       4     9    --    -5.53
   222 H Richmond               15- 8       7    14    -     -3.00
   309 A Denver                 12- 6       6     8    -     -2.55
   405 H Penn State             11- 7       4     6    -     -2.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   522 N Maryland                8- 7       1    -5    +++    6.56
   302 H Northwestern            7-12      -5    -9    ++     4.50
   417 A Duke                    9- 7       2    -2    ++     4.88
   516 H Notre Dame             16-10       6     0    ++     5.24
   510 H Towson                 15- 4      11     6    +      3.80
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.29 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.76 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.70 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.185.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/