Conf = Carolinas                  Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Lady Falcons           Coach  = Dawn Easley             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.4335632    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 214 N Rollins                Independent   (12- 3, 69.8)    14-19   
 221 H Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (14- 5, 71.5)     7- 6   
 225 H St. Andrews            Carolinas     (11- 8, 66.4)    14- 9   
 303 H East Stroudsburg       PSAC Eastern  ( 7-10, 66.2)    13- 5   
 305 A Queens                 Carolinas     ( 5-13, 65.8)    11-10   
 312 H Limestone              Carolinas     (17- 3, 74.5)     8-17   
 313 A Erskine                Carolinas     ( 0-16, 44.1)    24- 1   
 317 A Converse               Carolinas     ( 3-13, 45.0)    23- 3   
 321 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (14- 5, 71.5)     7-14   
 325 H Queens                 Carolinas     ( 5-13, 65.8)    11-10   
 328 N Molloy                 East Coast    ( 7- 9, 66.0)    12-14   
 329 N C.W. Post              East Coast    (16- 3, 83.9)    13-18   
 404 A Limestone              Carolinas     (17- 3, 74.5)    14-19   
 407 H Erskine                Carolinas     ( 0-16, 44.1)    20- 1   
 409 A St. Andrews            Carolinas     (11- 8, 66.4)    15-14   
 410 H Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 6-12, 61.2)    22-11   
 411 H Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 6-12, 61.2)    20- 9   
 415 H Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 6-12, 61.2)    19- 8   
 418 N Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (14- 5, 71.5)     3- 5   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 N Rollins                14-19      -5    -2    -     -2.60
   221 H Belmont Abbey           7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.01
   225 H St. Andrews            14- 9       5     2    +      2.88
   303 H East Stroudsburg       13- 5       8     2    ++     5.67
   305 A Queens                 11-10       1     0           0.47
   312 H Limestone               8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.04
   313 A Erskine                24- 1      23    22           0.00
   317 A Converse               23- 3      20    21           0.00
   321 A Belmont Abbey           7-14      -7    -5          -1.82
   325 H Queens                 11-10       1     2          -1.70
   328 N Molloy                 12-14      -2     1    -     -3.37
   329 N C.W. Post              13-18      -5   -16    ++     5.00
   404 A Limestone              14-19      -5    -8    +      3.13
   407 H Erskine                20- 1      19    24           0.00
   409 A St. Andrews            15-14       1     0           1.06
   410 H Lees-McRae             22-11      11     7    +      2.74
   411 H Lees-McRae             20- 9      11     7    +      2.74
   415 H Lees-McRae             19- 8      11     7    +      2.74
   418 N Belmont Abbey           3- 5      -2    -4    +      2.10

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   214 N Rollins                14-19      -5    -2    -     -2.60
   312 H Limestone               8-17      -9    -5    -     -3.04
   328 N Molloy                 12-14      -2     1    -     -3.37

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   221 H Belmont Abbey           7- 6       1    -3    ++     4.01
   303 H East Stroudsburg       13- 5       8     2    ++     5.67
   329 N C.W. Post              13-18      -5   -16    ++     5.00
   225 H St. Andrews            14- 9       5     2    +      2.88
   404 A Limestone              14-19      -5    -8    +      3.13
   410 H Lees-McRae             22-11      11     7    +      2.74
   411 H Lees-McRae             20- 9      11     7    +      2.74
   415 H Lees-McRae             19- 8      11     7    +      2.74
   418 N Belmont Abbey           3- 5      -2    -4    +      2.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 67.42 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 35.32 Local SOS Rank.............    33
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    18
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.7
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