Conf = SUNYAC                     Region = New York     State = NY
   Nickname = Red Dragons            Coach  = Kathy Taylor            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.0428848    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 310 A Christopher Newport    USA South Atl (13- 7, 70.8)    16- 7   
 312 A Davidson               Independent   ( 6-10, 68.6)    10-13   
 317 H Rochester              Liberty Leagu ( 8- 9, 70.2)    17- 7   
 321 A College of New Jersey  Independent   (16- 3, 81.6)    10-16   
 324 A Hamilton               Liberty Leagu (16- 3, 82.2)    11-12   
 328 A Ithaca                 Empire Eight  ( 7- 9, 69.6)    12-13   
 331 H Geneseo                SUNYAC        (10- 6, 72.7)    17- 6   
 401 H William Smith          Liberty Leagu (11- 4, 79.3)    12- 9   
 404 H Oswego                 SUNYAC        ( 9- 8, 66.3)    20- 9   
 407 H Brockport              SUNYAC        ( 5- 9, 66.9)    15- 7   
 411 A Fredonia               SUNYAC        (10- 7, 68.5)    14- 7   
 413 H Union                  Liberty Leagu (15- 4, 80.6)    13-14  o
 414 A New Paltz              SUNYAC        ( 1-13, 51.1)    19- 3   
 418 H Morrisville            SUNYAC        ( 6-10, 55.4)    20- 3   
 421 A Oneonta                SUNYAC        (10- 6, 72.7)    24-11   
 425 A Buffalo State          SUNYAC        (16- 2, 82.4)    12-14   
 428 H Potsdam                SUNYAC        ( 7- 8, 65.2)    15- 6   
 501 N Oneonta                SUNYAC        (10- 6, 72.7)    17- 8   
 502 A Buffalo State          SUNYAC        (16- 2, 82.4)    11- 8   
 506 H Claremont-Mudd-Scripps Independent   (12- 2, 72.0)    23- 8   
 509 A College of New Jersey  Independent   (16- 3, 81.6)     7-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Christopher Newport    16- 7       9     9          -0.80
   312 A Davidson               10-13      -3    12          n/a  
   317 H Rochester              17- 7      10    12           0.00
   321 A College of New Jersey  10-16      -6     0    --    -5.03
   324 A Hamilton               11-12      -1    -1           0.62
   328 A Ithaca                 12-13      -1    10    ---  -11.00
   331 H Geneseo                17- 6      11    10           0.00
   401 H William Smith          12- 9       3     3          -0.80
   404 H Oswego                 20- 9      11    16           0.00
   407 H Brockport              15- 7       8    16    -     -2.00
   411 A Fredonia               14- 7       7    12    -     -3.00
   413 H Union                  13-14  o   -1     2    -     -3.49
   414 A New Paltz              19- 3      16    29           0.00
   418 H Morrisville            20- 3      17    27           0.00
   421 A Oneonta                24-11      13     7    +      2.09
   425 A Buffalo State          12-14      -2    -1          -0.23
   428 H Potsdam                15- 6       9    17          -1.00
   501 N Oneonta                17- 8       9     9          -0.14
   502 A Buffalo State          11- 8       3    -1    ++     4.77
   506 H Claremont-Mudd-Scripps 23- 8      15    11           0.00
   509 A College of New Jersey   7-17     -10     0    ---   -9.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Davidson               10-13   
   328 A Ithaca                 12-13      -1    10    ---  -11.00
   509 A College of New Jersey   7-17     -10     0    ---   -9.03
   312 A Davidson               10-13   
   321 A College of New Jersey  10-16      -6     0    --    -5.03
   312 A Davidson               10-13   
   407 H Brockport              15- 7       8    16    -     -2.00
   411 A Fredonia               14- 7       7    12    -     -3.00
   413 H Union                  13-14  o   -1     2    -     -3.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 A Davidson               10-13   
   312 A Davidson               10-13   
   502 A Buffalo State          11- 8       3    -1    ++     4.77
   312 A Davidson               10-13   
   421 A Oneonta                24-11      13     7    +      2.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.84 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 45.14 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    20
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.7
/