Conf = Northeast 10               Region = North        State = MA
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Carissa Medeiros        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.0840149    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 308 H Philadelphia           CACC          (10- 7, 66.1)    15-10   
 312 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (14- 5, 71.5)     8-15   
 314 A Limestone              Carolinas     (17- 3, 74.5)     8-18   
 321 A New Haven              Northeast 10  (16- 4, 74.9)     7-11   
 322 A Adelphi                East Coast    (18- 0, 84.9)     4-18   
 324 A Franklin Pierce        Northeast 10  ( 7- 9, 65.7)    15-10   
 326 H Saint Michael's        Northeast 10  ( 4-10, 61.5)    21- 7   
 329 H Dowling                East Coast    ( 9- 4, 72.3)    10-19   
 402 A Molloy                 East Coast    ( 7- 9, 66.0)    11-10   
 404 A C.W. Post              East Coast    (16- 3, 83.9)     5-23   
 407 H Assumption             Northeast 10  ( 2-11, 57.3)    24- 3   
 409 H Southern Connecticut   Northeast 10  ( 1-13, 54.3)    23- 2   
 415 A S. New Hampshire       Northeast 10  (13- 5, 70.6)    11- 8   
 416 A American International Northeast 10  ( 3-12, 55.6)    21- 4   
 419 H Merrimack              Northeast 10  ( 8- 8, 66.6)    16-17   
 422 A Stonehill              Northeast 10  (10- 6, 75.5)     8-23   
 424 H Saint Anselm           Northeast 10  ( 5-10, 65.7)    25- 7   
 428 A Merrimack              Northeast 10  ( 8- 8, 66.6)    11-24   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 H Philadelphia           15-10       5     1    +      3.39
   312 A Belmont Abbey           8-15      -7    -5          -1.03
   314 A Limestone               8-18     -10    -8          -1.09
   321 A New Haven               7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.31
   322 A Adelphi                 4-18     -14   -19           0.00
   324 A Franklin Pierce        15-10       5     0    ++     5.19
   326 H Saint Michael's        21- 7      14     6    +      3.80
   329 H Dowling                10-19      -9    -4    --    -4.45
   402 A Molloy                 11-10       1     0           1.50
   404 A C.W. Post               5-23     -18   -18           0.00
   407 H Assumption             24- 3      21    10           0.00
   409 H Southern Connecticut   23- 2      21    13           0.00
   415 A S. New Hampshire       11- 8       3    -5    +++    8.07
   416 A American International 21- 4      17     9           0.07
   419 H Merrimack              16-17      -1     1    -     -2.08
   422 A Stonehill               8-23     -15    -9          -0.03
   424 H Saint Anselm           25- 7      18     1    +++    8.02
   428 A Merrimack              11-24     -13    -1    ---   -8.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Merrimack              11-24     -13    -1    ---   -8.91
   329 H Dowling                10-19      -9    -4    --    -4.45
   419 H Merrimack              16-17      -1     1    -     -2.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 A S. New Hampshire       11- 8       3    -5    +++    8.07
   424 H Saint Anselm           25- 7      18     1    +++    8.02
   321 A New Haven               7-11      -4    -9    ++     5.31
   324 A Franklin Pierce        15-10       5     0    ++     5.19
   308 H Philadelphia           15-10       5     1    +      3.39
   326 H Saint Michael's        21- 7      14     6    +      3.80
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 66.63 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 39.95 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.3
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