Conf = Amer. Lac. Conf            Region = West/Midwest State = TN
   Nickname = Commodores             Coach  = Cathy Swezey            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.7544250    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 217 H Cincinnati             Independent   ( 2-14, 66.4)    20- 4   
 223 A UMBC                   America East  ( 4-12, 75.1)    16- 7   
 224 A Lehigh                 Patriot Leagu (10- 7, 77.8)    16- 8   
 301 H Duquesne               Atlantic 10   ( 8- 9, 80.1)    12-10   
 304 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 4-14, 77.5)    12- 8   
 308 A North Carolina         Atlantic Coas (13- 7, 90.1)     5-12   
 312 H Boston University      America East  (18- 3, 92.6)     7-17   
 315 H New Hampshire          America East  (13- 6, 87.7)     7-10   
 317 H Cornell                Ivy League    (10- 6, 87.3)    15- 6   
 323 H Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-12, 83.2)    10- 7   
 330 A Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (21- 1, 99.9)     8-14   
 406 A Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 9, 85.8)    11-10 2o
 411 H Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co (10- 8, 83.2)    17- 7   
 413 A Albany                 America East  ( 8- 9, 78.5)    15- 5   
 416 A Notre Dame             Big East      (12- 7, 88.4)     9- 6   
 420 H Duke                   Atlantic Coas (13- 8, 91.2)    11-10   
 503 N Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 9, 85.8)    10- 7   
 504 A Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (21- 1, 99.9)     3-14   
 511 A Princeton              Ivy League    (13- 5, 91.4)    10-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 H Cincinnati             20- 4      16    23           0.00
   223 A UMBC                   16- 7       9    12          -1.00
   224 A Lehigh                 16- 8       8     9          -1.86
   301 H Duquesne               12-10       2     9    ---   -7.69
   304 H Virginia Tech          12- 8       4    12    ---   -6.00
   308 A North Carolina          5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.57
   312 H Boston University       7-17     -10    -2    ---   -7.14
   315 H New Hampshire           7-10      -3     2    --    -5.02
   317 H Cornell                15- 6       9     2    +++    6.53
   323 H Penn State             10- 7       3     6    -     -3.56
   330 A Northwestern            8-14      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   406 A Johns Hopkins          11-10 2o    1     1          -0.87
   411 H Ohio State             17- 7      10     6    +      3.45
   413 A Albany                 15- 5      10     9           0.78
   416 A Notre Dame              9- 6       3     0    +      3.69
   420 H Duke                   11-10       1    -1    +      2.43
   503 N Johns Hopkins          10- 7       3     2           0.10
   504 A Northwestern            3-14     -11   -12           0.00
   511 A Princeton              10-14      -4    -3          -0.30

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Duquesne               12-10       2     9    ---   -7.69
   304 H Virginia Tech          12- 8       4    12    ---   -6.00
   312 H Boston University       7-17     -10    -2    ---   -7.14
   308 A North Carolina          5-12      -7    -2    --    -4.57
   315 H New Hampshire           7-10      -3     2    --    -5.02
   323 H Penn State             10- 7       3     6    -     -3.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Cornell                15- 6       9     2    +++    6.53
   330 A Northwestern            8-14      -6   -12    ++     4.00
   411 H Ohio State             17- 7      10     6    +      3.45
   416 A Notre Dame              9- 6       3     0    +      3.69
   420 H Duke                   11-10       1    -1    +      2.43
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.73 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.47 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    79
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/