Conf = Atlantic Coast             Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Jenny Levy              

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.5331955    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 H Loyola                 Big East      ( 6-10, 80.4)    13- 9   
 217 H Denver                 MPSF          (13- 6, 86.5)    15- 9   
 223 H Albany                 America East  ( 8- 9, 78.5)    18- 6   
 228 H Brown                  Ivy League    ( 6-10, 78.9)    12- 8   
 301 H Penn                   Ivy League    (17- 2, 93.5)     7- 8   
 308 H Vanderbilt             Amer. Lac. Co (13- 6, 88.7)    12- 5   
 311 A Oregon                 MPSF          (13- 7, 85.0)    14- 9   
 316 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas (14- 4, 94.1)     5-16   
 322 H Duke                   Atlantic Coas (13- 8, 91.2)    16-14   
 326 H Virginia Tech          Atlantic Coas ( 4-14, 77.5)    16- 6   
 329 A Boston College         Atlantic Coas ( 7-10, 81.8)     4- 5 2o
 404 H Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co (10- 8, 83.2)    22-12   
 406 H Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-12, 83.2)    14- 9   
 412 H Maryland               Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 96.5)     8-10   
 416 A Old Dominion           Colonial      ( 4- 9, 75.5)    19- 7   
 420 A Northwestern           Amer. Lac. Co (21- 1, 99.9)     3-16   
 424 N Boston College         Atlantic Coas ( 7-10, 81.8)    12- 8   
 425 N Maryland               Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 96.5)     4- 6   
 511 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas (14- 4, 94.1)    11- 7   
 517 A Syracuse               Big East      (18- 3, 96.8)    11-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Loyola                 13- 9       4    10    ---   -6.00
   217 H Denver                 15- 9       6     4           1.35
   223 H Albany                 18- 6      12    12           0.00
   228 H Brown                  12- 8       4    12    ---   -6.00
   301 H Penn                    7- 8      -1    -2           1.33
   308 H Vanderbilt             12- 5       7     2    ++     4.57
   311 A Oregon                 14- 9       5     4           0.86
   316 A Virginia                5-16     -11    -4    --    -5.02
   322 H Duke                   16-14       2     0    +      2.02
   326 H Virginia Tech          16- 6      10    13           0.00
   329 A Boston College          4- 5 2o   -1     7    ---   -8.30
   404 H Ohio State             22-12      10     7    +      2.05
   406 H Penn State             14- 9       5     7    -     -2.97
   412 H Maryland                8-10      -2    -5    +      3.32
   416 A Old Dominion           19- 7      12    13           0.00
   420 A Northwestern            3-16     -13   -10           0.00
   424 N Boston College         12- 8       4     8    --    -4.33
   425 N Maryland                4- 6      -2    -6    ++     4.35
   511 A Virginia               11- 7       4    -4    +++    8.98
   517 A Syracuse               11-13      -2    -7    ++     5.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Loyola                 13- 9       4    10    ---   -6.00
   228 H Brown                  12- 8       4    12    ---   -6.00
   329 A Boston College          4- 5 2o   -1     7    ---   -8.30
   316 A Virginia                5-16     -11    -4    --    -5.02
   424 N Boston College         12- 8       4     8    --    -4.33
   406 H Penn State             14- 9       5     7    -     -2.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A Virginia               11- 7       4    -4    +++    8.98
   308 H Vanderbilt             12- 5       7     2    ++     4.57
   425 N Maryland                4- 6      -2    -6    ++     4.35
   517 A Syracuse               11-13      -2    -7    ++     5.74
   322 H Duke                   16-14       2     0    +      2.02
   404 H Ohio State             22-12      10     7    +      2.05
   412 H Maryland                8-10      -2    -5    +      3.32
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.13 Local Power Rank...........     9
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.92 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    57
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    4.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/