Conf = Independent                Region = South        State = FL
   Nickname = Tars                   Coach  = Dennis Short            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.0864105    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 N Pfeiffer               Carolinas     ( 8- 9, 66.1)    12-19   
 224 H Mercyhurst             Independent   (12- 3, 73.3)     6-16   
 225 H Notre Dame (OH)        Independent   (11- 4, 67.9)    11-10   
 229 N St. Andrews            Carolinas     ( 7-12, 62.9)    18-17 2o
 301 N Gannon                 Independent   (11- 4, 82.7)     5-20   
 307 N Lees-McRae             Carolinas     ( 1-15, 51.8)    18- 8   
 309 H East Stroudsburg       Penn. State   (11- 7, 65.8)    11-13   
 312 H Bryant                 Northeast 10  (10- 8, 65.9)    11-19   
 315 H New Haven              East Coast    (14- 3, 70.3)     8-17   
 319 H Saint Michael's        Northeast 10  ( 9- 7, 65.8)    17-18   
 405 A Belmont Abbey          Carolinas     (12- 7, 67.8)    10-14   
 406 A Queens                 Carolinas     (11- 7, 66.0)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 N Pfeiffer               12-19      -7    -6          -0.18
   224 H Mercyhurst              6-16     -10   -13           0.00
   225 H Notre Dame (OH)        11-10       1    -7    +++    8.68
   229 N St. Andrews            18-17 2o    1    -3    ++     4.64
   301 N Gannon                  5-20     -15   -23           0.00
   307 N Lees-McRae             18- 8      10     7    +      2.57
   309 H East Stroudsburg       11-13      -2    -5    +      3.55
   312 H Bryant                 11-19      -8    -5    -     -2.32
   315 H New Haven               8-17      -9   -10           1.00
   319 H Saint Michael's        17-18      -1    -5    ++     4.55
   405 A Belmont Abbey          10-14      -4    -9    ++     5.54
   406 A Queens                  5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.26

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H Bryant                 11-19      -8    -5    -     -2.32
   406 A Queens                  5-15     -10    -7    -     -2.26

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 H Notre Dame (OH)        11-10       1    -7    +++    8.68
   229 N St. Andrews            18-17 2o    1    -3    ++     4.64
   319 H Saint Michael's        17-18      -1    -5    ++     4.55
   405 A Belmont Abbey          10-14      -4    -9    ++     5.54
   307 N Lees-McRae             18- 8      10     7    +      2.57
   309 H East Stroudsburg       11-13      -2    -5    +      3.55
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 59.25 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 37.72 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    25
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    33
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    32
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   15.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -5.0
/