Conf = NESCAC                     Region = New England  State = MA
   Nickname = Ephs                   Coach  = Chris Mason             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.5812988    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 A Springfield            NEWMAC        (11- 5, 59.2)    14- 7   
 314 A Bates                  NESCAC        ( 4-10, 51.8)    16- 2   
 328 A St. Mary's (MD)        Capital       (12- 5, 65.1)     6- 8  o
 330 A Washington & Lee       Old Dominion  (15- 4, 63.2)    13-14  o
 403 H Tufts                  NESCAC        ( 7- 7, 61.6)    11- 8   
 404 H Bowdoin                NESCAC        (11- 7, 63.0)    14- 8   
 408 A Smith                  NEWMAC        ( 2- 8, 40.6)    20- 2   
 410 H Wesleyan (CT)          NESCAC        ( 9- 6, 62.7)    14- 9   
 413 N Connecticut College    NESCAC        ( 8- 8, 61.2)    13- 6   
 417 H Trinity (CT)           NESCAC        ( 5- 8, 59.6)    13- 7   
 418 A Colby                  NESCAC        ( 7- 9, 57.8)    11- 8  o
 421 A Middlebury             NESCAC        (19- 0, 75.3)     7-21   
 424 A Amherst                NESCAC        (16- 3, 71.5)    10-11  o
 425 H Wesleyan (CT)          NESCAC        ( 9- 6, 62.7)    10- 9   
 501 N Amherst                NESCAC        (16- 3, 71.5)    10-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 A Springfield            14- 7       7     4    +      2.21
   314 A Bates                  16- 2      14    12           0.00
   328 A St. Mary's (MD)         6- 8  o   -2    -1          -0.89
   330 A Washington & Lee       13-14  o   -1     0          -1.87
   403 H Tufts                  11- 8       3     5    -     -2.05
   404 H Bowdoin                14- 8       6     3    +      2.41
   408 A Smith                  20- 2      18    23           0.00
   410 H Wesleyan (CT)          14- 9       5     3           1.07
   413 N Connecticut College    13- 6       7     4    +      2.88
   417 H Trinity (CT)           13- 7       6     6          -1.00
   418 A Colby                  11- 8  o    3     6    -     -3.25
   421 A Middlebury              7-21     -14   -11           0.00
   424 A Amherst                10-11  o   -1    -7    +++    6.45
   425 H Wesleyan (CT)          10- 9       1     3    -     -2.93
   501 N Amherst                10-19      -9    -6    -     -2.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Tufts                  11- 8       3     5    -     -2.05
   418 A Colby                  11- 8  o    3     6    -     -3.25
   425 H Wesleyan (CT)          10- 9       1     3    -     -2.93
   501 N Amherst                10-19      -9    -6    -     -2.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A Amherst                10-11  o   -1    -7    +++    6.45
   313 A Springfield            14- 7       7     4    +      2.21
   404 H Bowdoin                14- 8       6     3    +      2.41
   413 N Connecticut College    13- 6       7     4    +      2.88
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 65.32 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 30.93 Local SOS Rank.............     6
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    10
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/