Conf = Colonial                   Region = South        State = VA
   Nickname = Tribe                  Coach  = Tara Kelly Brown        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.6742249    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 305 H California             MPSF          (10- 8, 85.2)    12- 7   
 307 H George Washington      Atlantic 10   ( 8- 9, 83.2)    13- 9   
 310 A Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 7- 9, 85.8)     9-10  o
 314 A Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 6-11, 87.9)    12-11  o
 317 A Georgetown             Big East      (13- 5, 97.3)     3-18   
 320 A UMBC                   America East  ( 5-11, 79.0)    17- 6   
 325 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas (19- 3, 99.7)     8-16   
 328 H Loyola                 Independent   (14- 4, 95.6)     8-12   
 402 A James Madison          Colonial      (16- 4, 95.7)     8-11   
 404 H George Mason           Colonial      ( 7-10, 87.8)    10- 6   
 409 A Drexel                 Colonial      (10- 7, 83.6)    13- 9   
 411 A Hofstra                Colonial      ( 8- 8, 87.4)     9- 8   
 416 H Towson                 Colonial      (14- 4, 90.9)    11-12   
 418 H Delaware               Colonial      ( 6-10, 84.9)    18-10   
 421 H Old Dominion           Colonial      ( 5-11, 82.5)    12-13   
 424 A Davidson               Amer. Lac. Co ( 4-13, 73.5)    19- 9   
 501 N Towson                 Colonial      (14- 4, 90.9)    14-12   
 502 A James Madison          Colonial      (16- 4, 95.7)    12-13  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 H California             12- 7       5     4           0.28
   307 H George Washington      13- 9       4     6    -     -2.67
   310 A Richmond                9-10  o   -1     2    -     -3.38
   314 A Penn State             12-11  o    1     0           0.71
   317 A Georgetown              3-18     -15    -9          -0.93
   320 A UMBC                   17- 6      11     9           0.78
   325 A Virginia                8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
   328 H Loyola                  8-12      -4    -5           1.66
   402 A James Madison           8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.52
   404 H George Mason           10- 6       4     2           1.90
   409 A Drexel                 13- 9       4     4          -0.58
   411 A Hofstra                 9- 8       1     0           0.14
   416 H Towson                 11-12      -1    -1           0.02
   418 H Delaware               18-10       8     4    +      3.03
   421 H Old Dominion           12-13      -1     7    ---   -8.44
   424 A Davidson               19- 9      10    14           0.00
   501 N Towson                 14-12       2    -1    +      3.85
   502 A James Madison          12-13  o   -1    -7    +++    6.52

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Old Dominion           12-13      -1     7    ---   -8.44
   307 H George Washington      13- 9       4     6    -     -2.67
   310 A Richmond                9-10  o   -1     2    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A James Madison          12-13  o   -1    -7    +++    6.52
   402 A James Madison           8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.52
   325 A Virginia                8-16      -8   -11    +      2.00
   418 H Delaware               18-10       8     4    +      3.03
   501 N Towson                 14-12       2    -1    +      3.85
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 89.06 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.73 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    76
 Local Quality Win Rating.-45.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    6.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/