Conf = Atlantic Coast             Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Jenny Slingluff Levy    

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.0837860    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 227 A UMBC                   America East  ( 5-11, 79.0)    23- 5   
 229 A George Mason           Colonial      ( 7-10, 87.8)    15- 6   
 305 H Loyola                 Independent   (14- 4, 95.6)     5- 9   
 307 H Ohio University        Amer. Lac. Co ( 8- 8, 85.3)    12- 8   
 310 H Connecticut            Big East      ( 8- 9, 87.3)    12- 8   
 313 H Duke                   Atlantic Coas (13- 6, 94.8)     6- 7 2o
 320 A Virginia               Atlantic Coas (19- 3, 99.7)     9-16   
 326 H Ohio State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 5-11, 83.8)    16- 8   
 328 H Penn State             Amer. Lac. Co ( 6-11, 87.9)    13- 4   
 402 A Temple                 Atlantic 10   (11- 8, 86.8)    12- 5   
 404 A Georgetown             Big East      (13- 5, 97.3)     3-14   
 409 H Vanderbilt             Amer. Lac. Co (12- 6, 93.1)     8-12   
 413 A Old Dominion           Colonial      ( 5-11, 82.5)    11- 7   
 417 A Maryland               Atlantic Coas (15- 5, 97.7)     9-11   
 423 H Duke                   Atlantic Coas (13- 6, 94.8)    11-12   
 508 A Dartmouth              Ivy League    (11- 6, 93.1)     5- 3   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   227 A UMBC                   23- 5      18    12           0.00
   229 A George Mason           15- 6       9     3    ++     5.09
   305 H Loyola                  5- 9      -4    -2          -1.81
   307 H Ohio University        12- 8       4     8    --    -4.11
   310 H Connecticut            12- 8       4     6    -     -2.08
   313 H Duke                    6- 7 2o   -1    -1           0.40
   320 A Virginia                9-16      -7    -8           1.01
   326 H Ohio State             16- 8       8     9          -1.57
   328 H Penn State             13- 4       9     5    +      3.56
   402 A Temple                 12- 5       7     4    +      2.11
   404 A Georgetown              3-14     -11    -5    --    -4.41
   409 H Vanderbilt              8-12      -4     0    --    -4.22
   413 A Old Dominion           11- 7       4     9    --    -5.24
   417 A Maryland                9-11      -2    -5    +      3.96
   423 H Duke                   11-12      -1    -1           0.40
   508 A Dartmouth               5- 3       2    -1    +      3.42

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Ohio University        12- 8       4     8    --    -4.11
   404 A Georgetown              3-14     -11    -5    --    -4.41
   409 H Vanderbilt              8-12      -4     0    --    -4.22
   413 A Old Dominion           11- 7       4     9    --    -5.24
   310 H Connecticut            12- 8       4     6    -     -2.08

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   229 A George Mason           15- 6       9     3    ++     5.09
   328 H Penn State             13- 4       9     5    +      3.56
   402 A Temple                 12- 5       7     4    +      2.11
   417 A Maryland                9-11      -2    -5    +      3.96
   508 A Dartmouth               5- 3       2    -1    +      3.42
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.54 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 78.32 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.58 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/