Conf = Atlantic 10                Region = South        State = DC
   Nickname = Colonials              Coach  = Jennifer Morris         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.4951324    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 A Towson                 Colonial      (14- 4, 90.9)     6- 9   
 304 H Johns Hopkins          Amer. Lac. Co (12- 5, 92.7)     7-14   
 307 A William & Mary         Colonial      (10- 8, 89.1)     9-13   
 312 H Davidson               Amer. Lac. Co ( 4-13, 73.5)    17- 6   
 316 A California             MPSF          (10- 8, 85.2)    11-12   
 318 A St. Mary's (CA)        MPSF          ( 4-12, 72.0)    11- 7   
 324 A George Mason           Colonial      ( 7-10, 87.8)     6-14   
 326 H Howard                 Independent   ( 2-13, 66.1)    25- 7   
 402 H Richmond               Atlantic 10   ( 7- 9, 85.8)     8- 7   
 406 A Longwood               Independent   (14- 1, 84.9)    12- 8   
 409 H La Salle               Atlantic 10   ( 3-13, 75.2)    14- 7   
 411 H Massachusetts          Atlantic 10   ( 6-10, 81.5)    11-10   
 416 A Duquesne               Atlantic 10   (14- 4, 89.6)    10-17   
 418 A St. Bonaventure        Atlantic 10   (10- 7, 83.9)     4-11   
 423 H Temple                 Atlantic 10   (11- 8, 86.8)     5-13   
 425 H Mount Saint Mary's     Northeast     (15- 5, 83.3)    16- 6   
 430 A Saint Joseph's         Atlantic 10   ( 8- 6, 81.0)    13-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Towson                  6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.53
   304 H Johns Hopkins           7-14      -7    -8           1.61
   307 A William & Mary          9-13      -4    -6    +      2.67
   312 H Davidson               17- 6      11    10           0.00
   316 A California             11-12      -1    -2           1.79
   318 A St. Mary's (CA)        11- 7       4    10    ---   -6.00
   324 A George Mason            6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.59
   326 H Howard                 25- 7      18    17           0.00
   402 H Richmond                8- 7       1    -1    +      2.79
   406 A Longwood               12- 8       4    -2          n/a  
   409 H La Salle               14- 7       7     8          -1.89
   411 H Massachusetts          11-10       1     2          -1.53
   416 A Duquesne               10-17      -7    -7           0.20
   418 A St. Bonaventure         4-11      -7    -1    --    -5.45
   423 H Temple                  5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.24
   425 H Mount Saint Mary's     16- 6      10     0    +++    9.26
   430 A Saint Joseph's         13-14      -1     1    -     -2.34

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A St. Mary's (CA)        11- 7       4    10    ---   -6.00
   406 A Longwood               12- 8   
   406 A Longwood               12- 8   
   418 A St. Bonaventure         4-11      -7    -1    --    -5.45
   423 H Temple                  5-13      -8    -2    --    -5.24
   324 A George Mason            6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.59
   406 A Longwood               12- 8   
   430 A Saint Joseph's         13-14      -1     1    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Longwood               12- 8   
   425 H Mount Saint Mary's     16- 6      10     0    +++    9.26
   228 A Towson                  6- 9      -3    -8    ++     5.53
   406 A Longwood               12- 8   
   307 A William & Mary          9-13      -4    -6    +      2.67
   402 H Richmond                8- 7       1    -1    +      2.79
   406 A Longwood               12- 8   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.22 Local Power Rank...........    43
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.24 Local SOS Rank.............    42
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    46
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    34
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    52
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -1.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
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