Conf = MAC-C                      Region = South                  
   Nickname = A Pride                Coach  =   Jamie Lockar          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.0513153    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 212 H Del Val                MAC-F         ( 6-11, 72.1)    14- 8   
 219 A Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 9- 7, 86.1)    12-14   
 301 A Whittier               Independent   ( 8- 5, 83.7)     8-14   
 309 A Arcadia                MAC-F         (12- 6, 84.3)     5-17   
 313 H Elizabethtown          Landmark      (11- 7, 88.7)     6-13   
 316 A Wash College           Centennial    ( 4-10, 83.8)     7-17   
 319 H UNE                    CCC           ( 5-12, 74.5)    20- 9   
 330 H Eastern                MAC-C         ( 8-10, 84.2)    13-15   
 402 H Hood                   MAC-C         ( 7-10, 73.4)     9- 7   
 409 A Messiah                MAC-C         ( 8-10, 76.0)    16- 8   
 413 A Albright               MAC-C         ( 5-11, 70.2)    21- 7   
 420 H Alvernia               MAC-C         ( 1-15, 66.2)    22- 2   
 422 H York                   MAC-C         (20- 3, 94.7)     6-18   
 427 A Lebanon Val            MAC-C         ( 8- 9, 75.0)    20- 6   
 430 A Stevenson              MAC-C         (13- 6, 91.5)    12-19   
 503 H Messiah                MAC-C         ( 8-10, 76.0)    12-10   
 505 A York                   MAC-C         (20- 3, 94.7)     5-22   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   212 H Del Val                14- 8       6     9    -     -3.86
   219 A Swarthmore             12-14      -2    -5    +      3.98
   301 A Whittier                8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.40
   309 A Arcadia                 5-17     -12    -4    --    -5.81
   313 H Elizabethtown           6-13      -7    -6          -0.28
   316 A Wash College            7-17     -10    -3    ---   -6.29
   319 H UNE                    20- 9      11     7    +      2.48
   330 H Eastern                13-15      -2    -2           0.16
   402 H Hood                    9- 7       2     8    ---   -6.62
   409 A Messiah                16- 8       8     4    +      3.85
   413 A Albright               21- 7      14     9           0.10
   420 H Alvernia               22- 2      20    15           0.00
   422 H York                    6-18     -12   -12           0.00
   427 A Lebanon Val            20- 6      14     5    ++     4.86
   430 A Stevenson              12-19      -7   -11    +      3.00
   503 H Messiah                12-10       2     6    --    -4.04
   505 A York                    5-22     -17   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 A Wash College            7-17     -10    -3    ---   -6.29
   402 H Hood                    9- 7       2     8    ---   -6.62
   309 A Arcadia                 5-17     -12    -4    --    -5.81
   503 H Messiah                12-10       2     6    --    -4.04
   212 H Del Val                14- 8       6     9    -     -3.86
   301 A Whittier                8-14      -6    -3    -     -2.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 A Lebanon Val            20- 6      14     5    ++     4.86
   219 A Swarthmore             12-14      -2    -5    +      3.98
   319 H UNE                    20- 9      11     7    +      2.48
   409 A Messiah                16- 8       8     4    +      3.85
   430 A Stevenson              12-19      -7   -11    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.05 Local Power Rank...........    80
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.03 Local SOS Rank.............    61
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............   124
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   237
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   130
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   14.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -7.3
/