Conf = MAC-C                      Region = South                  
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Dan Carson            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   75.9572525    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 223 A McDaniel               Centennial    ( 4-13, 77.9)     8-12   
 226 A F & M                  Centennial    (12- 4, 89.2)     5-18   
 302 H Kings                  MAC-F         ( 0-15, 65.8)    11- 6   
 305 A Chatham                PAC           ( 6-11, 71.2)    14-13   
 311 H Grove City             PAC           (15- 5, 87.4)     6-14   
 316 A Goucher                Landmark      ( 2-14, 69.6)    12- 8   
 319 H Elizabethtown          Landmark      (11- 7, 88.7)     7-15   
 323 H Gwynedd Mercy          AEC           ( 5-12, 70.9)    13- 9   
 330 A Albright               MAC-C         ( 5-11, 70.2)    19-16   
 402 A Mary Washington        C2C           ( 8-10, 82.4)     7-19   
 406 H Alvernia               MAC-C         ( 1-15, 66.2)    13- 9   
 409 H Widener                MAC-C         ( 8- 9, 81.1)     8-16   
 413 A Stevenson              MAC-C         (13- 6, 91.5)    10-20   
 420 A York                   MAC-C         (20- 3, 94.7)     7-22   
 423 H Lebanon Val            MAC-C         ( 8- 9, 75.0)    14-10   
 427 H Hood                   MAC-C         ( 7-10, 73.4)    14-10   
 430 A Eastern                MAC-C         ( 8-10, 84.2)    14-18   
 503 A Widener                MAC-C         ( 8- 9, 81.1)    10-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 A McDaniel                8-12      -4    -2          -1.15
   226 A F & M                   5-18     -13   -14           0.00
   302 H Kings                  11- 6       5    11    --    -5.00
   305 A Chatham                14-13       1     3    -     -2.79
   311 H Grove City              6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   316 A Goucher                12- 8       4     5          -1.45
   319 H Elizabethtown           7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   323 H Gwynedd Mercy          13- 9       4     6    -     -2.01
   330 A Albright               19-16       3     4          -1.81
   402 A Mary Washington         7-19     -12    -7    -     -2.57
   406 H Alvernia               13- 9       4    10    ---   -6.00
   409 H Widener                 8-16      -8    -4    -     -3.85
   413 A Stevenson              10-20     -10   -16           0.00
   420 A York                    7-22     -15   -19           0.00
   423 H Lebanon Val            14-10       4     1    +      2.07
   427 H Hood                   14-10       4     3           0.47
   430 A Eastern                14-18      -4    -9    ++     5.14
   503 A Widener                10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H Alvernia               13- 9       4    10    ---   -6.00
   302 H Kings                  11- 6       5    11    --    -5.00
   305 A Chatham                14-13       1     3    -     -2.79
   323 H Gwynedd Mercy          13- 9       4     6    -     -2.01
   402 A Mary Washington         7-19     -12    -7    -     -2.57
   409 H Widener                 8-16      -8    -4    -     -3.85

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Eastern                14-18      -4    -9    ++     5.14
   503 A Widener                10-12      -2    -6    ++     4.04
   311 H Grove City              6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   319 H Elizabethtown           7-15      -8   -11    +      2.00
   423 H Lebanon Val            14-10       4     1    +      2.07
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.96 Local Power Rank...........   122
 Local SOS Rating......... 56.61 Local SOS Rank.............    75
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............   153
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   142
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   157
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   13.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/