Conf = Centennial                 Region = South                  
   Nickname = A Bullets              Coach  =   Peter Toner           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.0438385    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 H Eastern                MAC-C         ( 8-10, 84.2)    16- 4   
 223 H Goucher                Landmark      ( 2-14, 69.6)    21- 3   
 226 A Salisbury              C2C           (20- 2, 96.8)     6-11   
 305 H Stevenson              MAC-C         (13- 6, 91.5)    12- 9   
 311 H ONU                    OAC           (12- 5, 80.9)    17- 6   
 315 H Wash & Lee             ODAC          (12- 7, 89.5)    10- 6   
 318 N CNU                    C2C           (18- 2, 99.3)    11-17   
 319 N Amherst                NESCAC        (10- 7, 93.3)    14-18   
 326 H Haverford              Centennial    ( 5-10, 84.0)    12- 2   
 330 H F & M                  Centennial    (12- 4, 89.2)    10- 6   
 402 A Wash College           Centennial    ( 4-10, 83.8)    11- 4   
 409 A Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 9- 7, 86.1)    10-14   
 413 H McDaniel               Centennial    ( 4-13, 77.9)    20- 7   
 416 H York                   MAC-C         (20- 3, 94.7)     8- 9   
 420 A Dickinson              Centennial    (19- 1, 92.5)     9-15   
 424 H Muhlenberg             Centennial    ( 9- 6, 90.0)     5- 3   
 430 A Ursinus                Centennial    ( 8- 8, 90.0)    16-12   
 504 H Muhlenberg             Centennial    ( 9- 6, 90.0)    12-11   
 507 A Dickinson              Centennial    (19- 1, 92.5)     9-10  o
 514 N Roanoke                ODAC          (13- 7, 87.4)    14- 8   
 515 A Dickinson              Centennial    (19- 1, 92.5)    17- 7   
 521 N Union                  Liberty       (18- 3, 96.2)    13-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Eastern                16- 4      12     8           1.17
   223 H Goucher                21- 3      18    23           0.00
   226 A Salisbury               6-11      -5    -5           0.67
   305 H Stevenson              12- 9       3     1           1.50
   311 H ONU                    17- 6      11    12           0.00
   315 H Wash & Lee             10- 6       4     3           0.49
   318 N CNU                    11-17      -6    -7           1.28
   319 N Amherst                14-18      -4    -1    -     -2.77
   326 H Haverford              12- 2      10     9           0.98
   330 H F & M                  10- 6       4     3           0.26
   402 A Wash College           11- 4       7     7          -0.28
   409 A Swarthmore             10-14      -4     5    ---   -9.02
   413 H McDaniel               20- 7      13    15           0.00
   416 H York                    8- 9      -1    -1           0.70
   420 A Dickinson               9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.59
   424 H Muhlenberg              5- 3       2     3          -1.02
   430 A Ursinus                16-12       4     1    +      2.89
   504 H Muhlenberg             12-11       1     3    -     -2.02
   507 A Dickinson               9-10  o   -1    -1           0.41
   514 N Roanoke                14- 8       6     4           1.39
   515 A Dickinson              17- 7      10    -1    +++   11.41
   521 N Union                  13-14      -1    -4    +      3.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 A Swarthmore             10-14      -4     5    ---   -9.02
   420 A Dickinson               9-15      -6    -1    --    -4.59
   319 N Amherst                14-18      -4    -1    -     -2.77
   504 H Muhlenberg             12-11       1     3    -     -2.02

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   515 A Dickinson              17- 7      10    -1    +++   11.41
   430 A Ursinus                16-12       4     1    +      2.89
   521 N Union                  13-14      -1    -4    +      3.18
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.04 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 74.90 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    88
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0
/