Conf = PAC                        Region = South                  
   Nickname = A Cougars              Coach  =   Kevin McDono          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   71.2206039    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 219 H Oberlin                NCAC          (12- 5, 79.6)     7-10   
 223 H Marietta               OAC           ( 4-12, 71.9)    15- 9   
 302 A Bridgewater            ODAC          (10- 8, 81.5)     5-23   
 305 H Messiah                MAC-C         ( 8-10, 76.0)    13-14   
 312 A Adrian                 MIAA          (11- 4, 76.3)    10-16   
 316 H Hood                   MAC-C         ( 7-10, 73.4)     9-19   
 319 H Allegheny              NCAC          ( 4-13, 69.9)    12- 7   
 323 A Baldwin Wallace        OAC           (14- 4, 83.7)     7-18   
 326 A Randolph-Macon         ODAC          (11- 7, 85.6)     7-22   
 402 A Westminster PA         PAC           ( 8- 5, 75.8)     7-15   
 409 H Grove City             PAC           (15- 5, 87.4)     5-25   
 415 H Wash & Jeff            PAC           ( 5- 9, 65.1)    20- 8   
 420 A Franciscan             PAC           ( 4- 9, 60.7)    17-10   
 425 A St Vincent             PAC           (12- 2, 79.0)     6-15   
 427 A Bethany                PAC           ( 5- 8, 63.3)    15- 1   
 430 H Thiel                  PAC           ( 5-10, 62.1)    19- 8   
 504 A Grove City             PAC           (15- 5, 87.4)     4-27   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Oberlin                 7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.49
   223 H Marietta               15- 9       6     0    ++     5.73
   302 A Bridgewater             5-23     -18   -11           0.00
   305 H Messiah                13-14      -1    -3    +      2.79
   312 A Adrian                 10-16      -6    -6           0.04
   316 H Hood                    9-19     -10    -1    ---   -8.79
   319 H Allegheny              12- 7       5     2    +      2.72
   323 A Baldwin Wallace         7-18     -11   -13           0.00
   326 A Randolph-Macon          7-22     -15   -15           0.00
   402 A Westminster PA          7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.48
   409 H Grove City              5-25     -20   -15           0.00
   415 H Wash & Jeff            20- 8      12     7    +      2.93
   420 A Franciscan             17-10       7     9    -     -2.56
   425 A St Vincent              6-15      -9    -8          -0.32
   427 A Bethany                15- 1      14     6    +      3.06
   430 H Thiel                  19- 8      11    10           0.00
   504 A Grove City              4-27     -23   -17           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Hood                    9-19     -10    -1    ---   -8.79
   402 A Westminster PA          7-15      -8    -5    -     -2.48
   420 A Franciscan             17-10       7     9    -     -2.56

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   219 H Oberlin                 7-10      -3    -7    ++     4.49
   223 H Marietta               15- 9       6     0    ++     5.73
   305 H Messiah                13-14      -1    -3    +      2.79
   319 H Allegheny              12- 7       5     2    +      2.72
   415 H Wash & Jeff            20- 8      12     7    +      2.93
   427 A Bethany                15- 1      14     6    +      3.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.22 Local Power Rank...........   164
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.24 Local SOS Rank.............   134
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............   141
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    49
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   197
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/