2021 NCAA Men's Division III
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Lynchburg ODAC 3 0 5 100 10 3 14 12 29 16.00 2 Salisbury C2C 2 0 1 14 3 1 1 28 30 12.00 3 Dickinson Mens NCAA D3 3 0 24 69 6 7 21 8 36 5.00 4 Christopher Newp Mens NCAA D3 3 0 4 21 2 10 31 6 47 4.00 5 Saint Mary's (MD UnitedEast 3 0 31 95 13 15 34 2 51 2.00 6 Denison NCAC 2 0 73 86 20 12 33 7 52 0.10 7 Albion MIAA 3 0 11 71 4 13 35 5 53 8.00 8 Franklin & Marsh Centennial 3 0 10 83 9 14 36 11 61 4.00 9 Saint John Fishe Empire 8 1 0 9 40 60 2 3 57 62 1.00 10 Berry SAA 4 0 49 102 1 21 42 1 64 0.10 11 John Carroll OAC 1 0 2 45 48 8 24 46 78 4.00 12 Union Liberty League 1 0 18 27 64 4 13 61 78 1.00 13 William Peace USA South 2 0 71 170 30 18 38 31 87 0.10 14 Westminster (PA) PAC 1 0 14 43 66 6 19 63 88 0.10 15 Ohio Wesleyan Mens NCAA D3 1 0 23 53 55 9 26 54 89 2.00 16 DeSales MAC-Freedom 1 1 62 11 126 11 4 79 94 0.10 17 Western New Engl CCC 3 0 48 142 17 31 67 4 102 2.00 18 Rensselaer Mens NCAA D3 3 0 26 114 12 29 63 14 106 2.00 19 Stevenson MAC-Commonwlth 2 0 17 65 28 25 54 29 108 1.00 20 Swarthmore Centennial 3 0 41 87 14 30 65 15 110 0.10 21 Birmingham South SAA 5 1 43 136 35 28 50 36 114 4.00 22 Manhattanville Mens NCAA D3 1 0 72 150 50 26 56 49 131 0.10 23 Farmingdale Stat Mens NCAA D3 2 0 7 164 21 41 77 20 138 4.00 24 Drew Landmark 3 0 75 176 7 54 93 9 156 0.10 25 Cabrini AEC 2 1 25 12 36 16 15 130 161 0.10 26 Ohio Northern Mens NCAA D3 2 0 6 25 27 48 87 26 161 2.00 27 Bethany PAC 1 1 109 140 150 19 6 143 168 0.10 28 Whittier D3 Independent 2 0 46 112 29 50 88 30 168 0.10 29 Oberlin NCAC 1 1 35 13 133 17 5 151 173 0.10 30 Wheaton NEWMAC 3 0 69 137 16 59 97 17 173 0.10 31 Calvin MIAA 3 0 59 91 5 68 106 3 177 0.10 32 Baldwin Wallace OAC 1 1 68 46 149 22 16 142 180 0.10 33 St Joseph (CT) GNAC 1 0 29 186 61 44 83 58 185 0.10 34 Greensboro Mens NCAA D3 2 1 113 66 43 24 29 133 186 0.10 35 Western Connecti LEC 1 0 13 122 65 45 85 62 192 0.10 36 Monmouth (IL) Mens NCAA D3 2 0 99 133 25 32 138 24 194 0.10 37 Scranton Mens NCAA D3 1 1 83 19 109 23 17 155 195 0.10 38 Carthage CCIW 2 0 57 130 19 77 108 19 204 0.10 39 Southwestern SCAC 2 1 19 98 144 33 43 139 215 0.10 40 Babson NEWMAC 2 1 33 49 131 76 72 68 216 0.10 41 York MAC-Commonwlth 1 0 110 109 67 60 94 64 218 0.10 42 Roanoke Mens NCAA D3 1 2 45 2 191 20 2 197 219 0.10 43 Marian Mens NCAA D3 0 1 106 90 180 36 8 177 221 0.10 44 Gordon CCC 0 1 100 57 172 42 12 169 223 0.10 45 Roger Williams CCC 1 1 94 77 158 35 37 154 226 1.00 46 Haverford Centennial 2 1 55 36 139 43 53 135 231 0.10 47 Neumann Mens NCAA D3 3 0 104 169 11 101 119 13 233 0.10 48 Ithaca Mens NCAA D3 1 1 50 15 128 53 47 145 245 0.10 49 Randolph-Macon ODAC 2 1 12 24 57 71 71 103 245 0.10 50 Hilbert UnitedEast 1 0 65 159 45 90 115 43 248 0.10 51 Concordia-Wiscon NACC 0 1 128 52 169 69 20 166 255 0.10 52 Lebanon Valley Mens NCAA D3 2 1 96 56 95 115 95 48 258 0.10 53 LaGrange Mens NCAA D3 1 3 161 76 208 46 9 207 262 0.10 54 Allegheny Mens NCAA D3 1 0 92 113 32 108 122 33 263 0.10 55 Pfeiffer Mens NCAA D3 1 1 121 105 157 61 49 153 263 0.10 56 Bridgewater Mens NCAA D3 2 1 40 80 135 67 69 129 265 1.00 57 MIT Mens NCAA D3 2 0 15 163 24 92 151 23 266 4.00 58 Transylvania HCAC 3 0 38 107 15 122 128 16 266 0.10 59 Clark NEWMAC 0 2 166 28 220 39 10 220 269 0.10 60 Stevens MAC-Freedom 1 2 84 39 212 37 22 212 271 0.10 61 Coast Guard Mens NCAA D3 0 2 123 29 221 40 11 221 272 0.10 62 Illinois Wesleya CCIW 2 0 42 106 22 123 129 21 273 0.10 63 Keene State LEC 2 1 107 120 141 70 70 137 277 0.10 64 Curry CCC 0 1 151 4 137 89 23 167 279 0.10 65 Dallas SCAC 1 0 164 184 40 119 125 40 284 0.10 66 McDaniel Mens NCAA D3 1 1 117 60 154 79 57 148 284 0.10 67 Emerson NEWMAC 3 0 98 167 8 140 137 10 287 1.00 68 Lasell GNAC 0 1 152 5 142 91 25 174 290 0.10 69 Saint Vincent PAC 2 0 16 22 62 5 235 59 299 0.10 70 DePauw NCAC 0 2 52 6 197 62 18 223 303 0.10 71 Guilford ODAC 1 2 144 82 206 58 39 206 303 0.10 72 Averett USA South 2 0 160 194 18 147 144 18 309 0.10 73 Wentworth Tech CCC 0 1 132 89 195 93 28 191 312 0.10 74 Sewanee SAA 2 0 3 8 59 27 230 56 313 0.10 75 Kenyon Mens NCAA D3 2 0 97 171 23 149 145 22 316 0.10 76 Widener MAC-Commonwlth 1 1 66 75 162 94 66 158 318 0.10 77 Morrisville Mens NCAA D3 2 0 90 187 26 150 146 25 321 1.00 78 Gettysburg Centennial 2 1 8 23 42 105 90 132 327 1.00 79 Elizabethtown Landmark 1 2 47 48 205 78 46 204 328 0.10 80 Johnson & Wales Mens NCAA D3 1 1 146 115 152 118 73 146 337 0.10 81 Stockton CSAC 1 1 58 47 161 127 86 128 341 0.10 82 Concordia-Chicag NACC 0 1 189 143 168 171 7 165 343 0.10 83 Aurora NACC 1 0 30 147 33 164 148 34 346 2.00 84 Virginia Wesleya ODAC 1 2 138 118 215 84 48 214 346 0.10 85 Clarkson Mens NCAA D3 1 0 20 192 37 165 149 37 351 0.10 86 Susquehanna Landmark 2 1 116 92 145 116 96 140 352 0.10 87 Catholic Landmark 3 1 27 61 132 124 107 125 356 3.00 88 Piedmont Mens NCAA D3 1 3 115 126 237 81 40 236 357 0.10 89 Univ. of New Eng CCC 2 1 105 152 146 120 100 141 361 0.10 90 Misericordia MAC-Freedom 1 0 36 70 52 166 150 51 367 0.10 91 Shenandoah Mens NCAA D3 3 1 34 97 134 129 111 127 367 1.00 92 Hendrix SAA 1 2 101 110 207 114 59 195 368 0.10 93 Alma MIAA 1 2 22 3 130 117 62 192 371 0.10 94 Hanover Mens NCAA D3 2 1 150 161 127 133 105 134 372 0.10 95 Rhodes Mens NCAA D3 0 5 122 38 247 97 32 246 375 0.10 96 Ferrum Mens NCAA D3 1 2 176 63 170 113 60 205 378 0.10 97 Massachusetts-Bo LEC 1 0 134 168 63 168 154 60 382 0.10 98 Hampden-Sydney ODAC 1 2 56 16 174 126 64 194 384 0.10 99 Oneonta Mens NCAA D3 1 1 87 101 156 141 91 152 384 0.10 100 Merchant Marine Mens NCAA D3 1 0 80 175 51 180 159 50 389 0.10 101 Ursinus Centennial 1 1 64 62 147 142 92 157 391 0.10 102 Mary Washington Mens NCAA D3 1 3 44 18 233 107 51 234 392 0.10 103 Hope MIAA 1 0 28 64 47 187 161 45 393 0.10 104 Cornell College Mens NCAA D3 1 1 156 188 38 190 166 38 394 0.10 105 Alfred Empire 8 1 0 70 193 31 200 169 32 401 2.00 106 Capital OAC 0 2 89 55 219 138 44 219 401 0.10 107 Grove City PAC 2 1 37 85 138 158 124 126 408 0.10 108 Bates NESCAC 0 1 77 26 165 173 74 162 409 0.10 109 Hood MAC-Commonwlth 2 1 149 145 140 152 121 136 409 0.10 110 Messiah Mens NCAA D3 0 2 120 30 198 155 58 196 409 0.10 111 Benedictine (IL) NACC 1 0 85 127 34 201 174 35 410 0.10 112 Carroll CCIW 0 1 192 162 167 174 75 164 413 0.10 113 Randolph ODAC 0 3 180 144 242 131 41 243 415 0.10 114 Penn College Mens NCAA D3 1 3 141 72 241 148 30 242 420 0.10 115 Wilmington (OH) OAC 1 1 167 173 163 156 109 159 424 0.10 116 Cortland SUNYAC 1 0 78 138 39 203 184 39 426 0.10 117 Muskingum OAC 2 1 51 158 129 162 126 138 426 1.00 118 Saint Josephs ME GNAC 0 2 169 93 229 146 52 228 426 0.10 119 Delhi NAC 0 2 148 134 222 151 55 222 428 0.10 120 Kings Mens NCAA D3 0 1 165 123 177 177 78 173 428 0.10 121 Colorado College SCAC 0 4 95 20 245 139 45 245 429 0.10 122 Dean NECC 1 0 39 172 41 204 185 41 430 0.10 123 Vassar Liberty League 1 2 140 94 214 145 84 202 431 0.10 124 Wabash NCAC 3 2 133 155 199 132 101 198 431 0.10 125 Lycoming Mens NCAA D3 0 1 127 124 178 178 79 175 432 0.10 126 Chatham PAC 1 1 67 59 151 170 120 144 434 0.10 127 Mount Union OAC 1 1 32 58 143 167 118 149 434 0.10 128 Maine Maritime NAC 0 1 168 99 179 179 80 176 435 0.10 129 Arcadia MAC-Freedom 1 1 82 129 148 159 157 124 440 0.10 130 Hartwick Empire 8 1 0 93 116 44 205 195 42 442 1.00 131 Moravian Mens NCAA D3 0 1 129 88 184 182 81 181 444 0.10 132 Hiram NCAC 1 0 86 128 46 206 197 44 447 0.10 133 Centre SAA 2 1 60 50 136 175 143 131 449 0.10 134 Wittenberg NCAC 0 2 91 41 231 160 61 230 451 0.10 135 Skidmore Liberty League 0 1 125 68 192 243 27 188 458 2.00 136 Lake Forest MLC 1 0 21 183 49 207 205 47 459 1.00 137 RIT Mens NCAA D3 1 0 53 156 58 211 226 27 464 2.00 138 Wilkes MAC-Freedom 0 2 177 157 230 169 68 229 466 0.10 139 Methodist Mens NCAA D3 2 2 142 117 209 161 99 208 468 0.10 140 Mount St Mary (N Skyline 1 0 137 191 53 208 211 52 471 0.10 141 Albright MAC-Commonwlth 2 2 139 135 200 163 113 199 475 0.10 142 Norwich Mens NCAA D3 1 0 79 139 54 209 218 53 480 0.10 143 Potsdam Mens NCAA D3 1 0 61 146 56 210 223 55 488 0.10 144 Sage Empire 8 1 2 114 32 159 184 117 187 488 0.10 145 Wooster NCAC 1 1 54 1 124 189 139 160 488 0.10 146 Delaware Valley MAC-Freedom 0 3 131 79 239 176 76 239 491 0.10 147 Otterbein Mens NCAA D3 0 2 63 9 202 183 82 226 491 0.10 148 Rosemont Mens NCAA D3 1 2 181 178 211 172 110 211 493 0.10 149 Dubuque Mens NCAA D3 0 2 136 34 223 195 104 200 499 0.10 150 Gwynedd Mercy AEC 1 1 172 149 173 213 123 170 506 0.10 151 Mitchell Mens NCAA D3 1 2 175 42 196 181 116 209 506 0.10 152 Eastern MAC-Commonwlth 0 3 81 10 232 186 89 240 515 0.10 153 Marywood Mens NCAA D3 2 2 171 153 201 185 132 201 518 0.10 154 New England Coll NECC 1 1 130 165 155 214 155 150 519 0.10 155 Anderson (IN) HCAC 1 2 162 148 203 192 127 203 522 0.10 156 Warren Wilson D3 Independent 0 3 194 160 243 191 98 237 526 0.10 157 Maritime Mens NCAA D3 1 1 158 166 153 218 162 147 527 0.10 158 Springfield NEWMAC 1 1 88 96 160 215 156 156 527 0.10 159 Nichols Mens NCAA D3 0 3 154 119 240 193 102 235 530 0.10 160 Canton NAC 0 2 190 37 204 202 114 218 534 0.10 161 Marymount AEC 1 1 74 31 181 154 206 178 538 0.10 162 Washington & Jef PAC 0 3 187 131 244 194 103 244 541 0.10 163 Goucher Landmark 0 3 143 17 225 197 112 241 550 0.10 164 Mount St Joseph Mens NCAA D3 1 3 182 189 210 212 131 210 553 0.10 165 Montclair State Mens NCAA D3 0 1 155 151 183 223 152 180 555 0.10 166 Oglethorpe Mens NCAA D3 3 3 163 180 234 188 136 231 555 0.10 167 Washington & Lee ODAC 1 2 108 103 216 199 141 215 555 1.00 168 Huntingdon USA South 1 3 173 154 235 196 130 232 558 0.10 169 Elmhurst Mens NCAA D3 0 2 76 35 224 222 147 193 562 0.10 170 Augustana CCIW 0 1 118 73 164 231 171 161 563 0.10 171 MCLA NAC 0 1 179 185 182 226 158 179 563 0.10 172 Marietta Mens NCAA D3 1 3 111 104 236 198 134 233 565 0.10 173 Beloit NACC 0 1 170 7 166 233 173 163 569 0.10 174 Mount St Vincent Mens NCAA D3 0 1 178 121 185 227 160 182 569 0.10 175 Brevard USA South 0 2 184 182 218 219 140 217 576 0.10 176 Oswego Mens NCAA D3 0 1 112 81 189 241 220 123 584 1.00 177 Washington Colle Centennial 0 1 174 108 194 229 165 190 584 0.10 178 La Roche UnitedEast 0 2 193 141 226 220 142 224 586 0.10 179 Anna Maria GNAC 0 3 159 84 238 216 133 238 587 0.10 180 Heidelberg Mens NCAA D3 0 2 186 177 175 225 196 171 592 0.10 181 Franciscan Mens NCAA D3 0 1 119 74 171 234 192 168 594 0.10 182 Thiel PAC 1 2 147 125 213 221 163 213 597 0.10 183 Centenary (LA) SCAC 0 6 183 132 246 217 135 247 599 0.10 184 Southern Virgini USA South 0 2 153 51 228 224 153 227 604 0.10 185 Husson NAC 0 1 157 33 176 235 198 172 605 0.10 186 Alvernia MAC-Commonwlth 0 2 188 179 217 228 164 216 608 0.10 187 Muhlenberg Centennial 0 1 145 44 186 238 212 183 633 0.10 188 Nazareth Mens NCAA D3 0 1 126 78 187 239 215 184 638 0.10 189 New Paltz SUNYAC 0 1 185 174 188 240 216 185 641 0.10 190 Plymouth State Mens NCAA D3 0 1 124 67 190 242 222 186 650 0.10 191 Medaille Mens NCAA D3 0 2 191 111 227 237 208 225 670 0.10 192 SUNY Poly NAC 0 1 135 54 193 245 236 189 670 0.10 193 Adrian Mens NCAA D3 1 0 102 190 68 230 167 65 0 0.10 194 Kalamazoo MIAA 0 2 103 181 91 236 201 90 0 0.10 195 Albertus Magnus GNAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 196 Amherst Mens NCAA D3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 197 Bard Liberty League 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 198 Bowdoin NESCAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 199 Brockport SUNYAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 200 Bryn Athyn CSAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 201 Cairn CSAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 202 Castleton LEC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 203 Centenary (NJ) CSAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 204 Cobleskill NAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 205 Colby NESCAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 206 Connecticut Coll NESCAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 207 Eastern Connecti LEC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 208 Earlham HCAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 209 Edgewood NACC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 210 Emmanuel (MA) GNAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 211 Endicott CCC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 212 Fairleigh Dickin MAC-Freedom 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 213 Geneseo SUNYAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 214 Hamilton NESCAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 215 Illinois Tech NACC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 216 Immaculata AEC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 217 Kean CSAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 218 Keuka Mens NCAA D3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 219 Keystone Mens NCAA D3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 220 Massachusetts Ma LEC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 221 Middlebury NESCAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 222 MSOE Mens NCAA D3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 223 North Central IL Mens NCAA D3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 224 North Central MN MLC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 225 Northland Mens NCAA D3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 226 Northern Vermont Mens NCAA D3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 227 Plattsburgh SUNYAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 228 Purchase Mens NCAA D3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 229 Regis Mens NCAA D3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 230 Rivier GNAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 231 Salem State Mens NCAA D3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 232 Salve Regina Mens NCAA D3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 233 Southern Maine LEC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 234 Spalding HCAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 235 St Josephs LI Skyline 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 236 St Lawrence Liberty League 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 237 Thomas NAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 238 Trine MIAA 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 239 Trinity NESCAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 240 Tufts NESCAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 241 Northwestern (MN MLC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 242 Utica Empire 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 243 Wells UnitedEast 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 244 Wesley AEC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 245 Wesleyan NESCAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 246 Williams NESCAC 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10 247 Juniata Landmark 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.10