2021 NCAA Men's Division I
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Georgetown Big East 4 0 1 7 1 1 2 1 4 11.00 2 North Carolina ACC 4 1 26 14 6 2 3 4 9 1.00 3 Maryland B1G 4 0 2 5 2 4 12 2 18 22.00 4 Penn Mens NCAA D1 1 1 9 1 13 3 1 19 23 0.10 5 High Point SoCon 2 2 8 4 18 7 7 14 28 0.10 6 Boston Universit Patriot 3 0 25 43 11 5 15 11 31 1.00 7 Ohio State B1G 4 0 7 39 7 6 24 3 33 10.00 8 Johns Hopkins B1G 3 2 15 6 19 8 8 18 34 0.10 9 Princeton Ivy 2 1 5 32 16 14 14 20 48 3.00 10 Virginia ACC 4 0 4 19 3 10 35 5 50 6.00 11 Rutgers Mens NCAA D1 5 0 19 54 8 9 34 8 51 1.00 12 Saint Josephs PA NEC 3 1 49 55 27 12 17 22 51 0.10 13 Jacksonville Mens NCAA D1 5 1 6 21 4 15 30 7 52 0.10 14 Richmond SoCon 3 1 13 46 26 13 20 21 54 2.00 15 Delaware CAA 4 1 27 53 14 16 31 13 60 0.10 16 Cornell Ivy 3 0 12 29 12 11 38 12 61 0.10 17 Duke ACC 5 2 10 22 15 17 27 17 61 1.00 18 Towson CAA 1 3 42 8 41 31 10 24 65 0.10 19 Loyola Mens NCAA D1 0 3 22 3 47 29 4 34 67 2.00 20 Notre Dame Mens NCAA D1 1 1 3 12 20 25 19 23 67 16.00 21 Brown Ivy 3 1 38 41 25 20 32 16 68 0.10 22 LIU Mens NCAA D1 3 2 57 64 39 18 18 33 69 0.10 23 Syracuse ACC 1 2 14 13 24 32 13 25 70 1.00 24 Stony Brook America East 4 0 56 66 10 19 47 10 76 1.00 25 Mount St Marys Mens NCAA D1 3 3 45 36 50 28 22 27 77 0.10 26 Marist Mens NCAA D1 1 3 50 16 58 27 9 46 82 0.10 27 Hofstra CAA 3 2 60 67 42 22 23 39 84 0.10 28 Denver Big East 3 2 20 15 17 24 25 38 87 0.10 29 Merrimack Mens NCAA D1 2 2 39 61 49 23 16 50 89 0.10 30 Navy Mens NCAA D1 3 2 28 45 30 26 28 41 95 0.10 31 Army Patriot 3 1 32 58 21 35 49 15 99 2.00 32 Bucknell Patriot 4 0 16 63 9 30 60 9 99 1.00 33 Robert Morris Mens NCAA D1 0 3 48 20 61 33 5 64 102 0.10 34 Dartmouth Ivy 1 1 36 38 29 37 37 31 105 0.10 35 Hobart Mens NCAA D1 2 1 21 27 23 21 59 26 106 1.00 36 Colgate Mens NCAA D1 1 2 30 17 37 38 29 43 110 0.10 37 Utah ASUN 2 1 18 18 28 36 45 29 110 0.10 38 St John's Big East 0 4 69 37 71 34 6 71 111 0.10 39 Cleveland State ASUN 0 3 44 9 57 43 11 61 115 0.10 40 Harvard Ivy 1 1 17 35 22 40 43 32 115 3.00 41 Yale Ivy 1 1 40 42 33 42 44 30 116 0.10 42 Vermont America East 1 3 24 28 59 41 26 57 124 0.10 43 Michigan B1G 6 0 11 59 5 51 69 6 126 12.00 44 St Bonaventure MAAC 2 2 58 47 40 46 50 37 133 0.10 45 Penn State Mens NCAA D1 2 3 52 40 62 39 36 59 134 1.00 46 UMBC America East 1 1 34 49 32 52 56 28 136 0.10 47 Detroit Mercy ASUN 0 3 63 2 38 54 21 62 137 0.10 48 Lehigh Patriot 1 2 29 34 43 48 40 49 137 0.10 49 Marquette Mens NCAA D1 1 3 23 11 48 49 33 56 138 0.10 50 Bryant NEC 2 2 33 52 45 44 48 48 140 1.00 51 Mercer SoCon 2 3 41 23 55 45 42 55 142 0.10 52 Binghamton America East 1 2 55 30 34 56 46 42 144 0.10 53 Massachusetts CAA 1 2 46 57 56 50 41 54 145 0.10 54 Villanova Big East 2 2 31 50 52 47 51 47 145 1.00 55 Sacred Heart NEC 1 1 70 72 31 53 57 36 146 0.10 56 Monmouth Mens NCAA D1 1 2 61 31 36 58 54 35 147 0.10 57 Air Force ASUN 1 4 35 10 60 55 39 60 154 0.10 58 Manhattan MAAC 2 2 59 48 35 59 64 40 163 0.10 59 Albany America East 0 2 37 24 44 64 52 52 168 0.10 60 Providence Big East 2 2 64 68 51 57 62 51 170 0.10 61 Fairfield CAA 1 2 53 56 54 60 61 53 174 0.10 62 Lafayette Mens NCAA D1 2 2 54 60 46 63 67 45 175 0.10 63 Canisius MAAC 1 4 47 25 69 61 53 72 186 0.10 64 Drexel Mens NCAA D1 1 2 43 44 53 70 72 44 186 0.10 65 Holy Cross Patriot 0 4 71 33 70 65 55 69 189 0.10 66 Siena MAAC 1 3 68 69 64 62 63 65 190 0.10 67 Quinnipiac Mens NCAA D1 1 3 66 73 63 66 65 63 194 0.10 68 NJIT Mens NCAA D1 0 4 65 26 72 67 58 70 195 0.10 69 Hampton SoCon 0 3 73 62 66 71 70 58 199 0.10 70 VMI SoCon 1 3 67 71 65 69 68 66 203 0.10 71 Bellarmine ASUN 1 6 51 51 73 68 66 73 207 0.10 72 Wagner NEC 0 3 62 65 68 72 71 68 211 0.10 73 Massachusetts-Lo America East 0 3 72 70 67 73 73 67 213 0.10