Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Joe Breschi             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.2356873    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 201 H Colgate                Patriot       ( 0- 6, 90.7)    19- 6   
 208 H Mercer                 SoCon         ( 5- 1, 91.5)    14- 6   
 215 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 0- 6, 86.9)    24- 8   
 222 A Johns Hopkins          Big Ten       ( 1- 4, 91.9)    17-10   
 301 A Denver                 Big East      ( 4- 2, 95.2)    15-13   
 306 A Furman                 SoCon         ( 1- 5, 86.2)    18-11   
 310 H Bryant                 Northeast     ( 3- 3, 94.9)   
 314 H Georgetown             Big East      ( 6- 0, 99.2)   
 321 H Maryland               Big Ten       ( 5- 1, 96.5)   
 324 H Dartmouth              Ivy           ( 3- 1, 95.9)   
 326 A Duke                   ACC           ( 5- 2, 95.6)   
 402 H Virginia               ACC           ( 4- 2, 94.1)   
 411 A Syracuse               ACC           ( 5- 0, 99.0)   
 418 H Notre Dame             ACC           ( 2- 2, 95.5)   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 H Colgate                19- 6      13    10           0.00
   208 H Mercer                 14- 6       8     9          -1.54
   215 H Lafayette              24- 8      16    14           0.00
   222 A Johns Hopkins          17-10       7     5           1.52
   301 A Denver                 15-13       2     2          -0.22
   306 A Furman                 18-11       7    11    -     -3.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   306 A Furman                 18-11       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.24 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.87 Local SOS Rank.............    55
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.59 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .   21.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   17.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 0 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/