Fairfield                     4 - 2


 
   Conf = CAA                        Region = Northeast    State = CT
   Nickname = Stags                  Coach  = Andrew Baxter           



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   90.2651672    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 215 H Stony Brook            America East  ( 5- 2, 91.7)    18-16   
 218 H Merrimack              Northeast     ( 1- 5, 90.8)    14-11   
 222 A Georgetown             Big East      ( 6- 0, 99.2)    12-25   
 229 H Quinnipiac             MAAC          ( 0- 6, 87.1)    19-15   
 303 H LIU                    Northeast     ( 1- 5, 85.5)    19-15   
 307 A Harvard                Ivy           ( 2- 2, 94.0)    12-15   
 310 A Siena                  MAAC          ( 2- 3, 86.1)   
 317 H Providence             Big East      ( 5- 1, 96.9)   
 321 A Villanova              Big East      ( 4- 3, 95.1)   
 328 A Delaware               CAA           ( 4- 2, 92.7)   
 404 A Towson                 CAA           ( 0- 6, 87.4)   
 411 H Drexel                 CAA           ( 3- 3, 94.1)   
 418 H UMass                  CAA           ( 4- 2, 94.6)   
 425 A Hofstra                CAA           ( 3- 3, 92.0)   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   215 H Stony Brook            18-16       2     0           1.61
   218 H Merrimack              14-11       3     1           1.70
   222 A Georgetown             12-25     -13   -10           0.00
   229 H Quinnipiac             19-15       4     4          -1.00
   303 H LIU                    19-15       4     6    -     -2.62
   307 A Harvard                12-15      -3    -5    +      2.54


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 H LIU                    19-15       4     6    -     -2.62


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Harvard                12-15      -3    -5    +      2.54




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.27 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 80.19 Local SOS Rank.............    43
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    38
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    36
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    24
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   15.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......   16.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7


  
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