Conf = NESCAC                     Region = North        State = MA
   Nickname = Ephmen                 Coach  = George McCormack        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   96.2231293    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 A Wesleyan               NESCAC        (12- 3, 90.8)    12-14   
 309 H Trinity                NESCAC        ( 8- 8, 83.5)    18-12   
 315 H Union                  Liberty       (14- 3, 89.3)    12-11   
 317 A Connecticut Coll.      NESCAC        ( 5-10, 82.5)    18- 9   
 320 A Rensselaer             Liberty       (12- 5, 85.9)    16- 7   
 323 H Bates                  NESCAC        (10- 5, 88.0)    16-14   
 327 N MIT                    NEWMAC        (10- 8, 78.2)    16- 9   
 329 A Colorado College       Independent   ( 7- 7, 81.9)    19- 9   
 403 A Tufts                  NESCAC        (17- 1, 92.9)    14-15   
 406 H Amherst                NESCAC        (14- 3, 94.9)    13-11   
 409 A Hamilton               NESCAC        ( 5- 9, 84.0)    12- 6   
 413 A Colby                  NESCAC        ( 8- 7, 83.4)    11- 6   
 417 H Western New Eng.       CCC           (14- 5, 82.4)    19- 7   
 420 H Bowdoin                NESCAC        ( 6- 9, 83.8)    17- 9   
 424 H Middlebury             NESCAC        ( 8- 9, 88.4)    14-12   
 427 H Colby                  NESCAC        ( 8- 7, 83.4)    12- 9   
 504 N Amherst                NESCAC        (14- 3, 94.9)    11- 8   
 505 A Tufts                  NESCAC        (17- 1, 92.9)    16-17  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Wesleyan               12-14      -2     0          -1.42
   309 H Trinity                18-12       6     8    -     -2.71
   315 H Union                  12-11       1     2          -1.93
   317 A Connecticut Coll.      18- 9       9     7           1.25
   320 A Rensselaer             16- 7       9     4    ++     4.65
   323 H Bates                  16-14       2     4    -     -2.22
   327 N MIT                    16- 9       7    12    -     -3.00
   329 A Colorado College       19- 9      10     8           1.61
   403 A Tufts                  14-15      -1    -2           1.59
   406 H Amherst                13-11       2    -2    ++     4.72
   409 A Hamilton               12- 6       6     6          -0.24
   413 A Colby                  11- 6       5     6          -1.86
   417 H Western New Eng.       19- 7      12     9           0.24
   420 H Bowdoin                17- 9       8     8          -0.40
   424 H Middlebury             14-12       2     3          -1.79
   427 H Colby                  12- 9       3     8    --    -5.78
   504 N Amherst                11- 8       3    -3    +++    6.68
   505 A Tufts                  16-17  o   -1    -2           1.59

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Colby                  12- 9       3     8    --    -5.78
   309 H Trinity                18-12       6     8    -     -2.71
   323 H Bates                  16-14       2     4    -     -2.22
   327 N MIT                    16- 9       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   504 N Amherst                11- 8       3    -3    +++    6.68
   320 A Rensselaer             16- 7       9     4    ++     4.65
   406 H Amherst                13-11       2    -2    ++     4.72
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 91.22 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.45 Local SOS Rank.............     4
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.70 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .    4.0 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating.130.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     5
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/