Conf = Centennial                 Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Bears                  Coach  = Gary Mercadante         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.5023499    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 A Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (12- 7, 86.2)    13- 9   
 223 A Mary Washington        CAC           ( 7-11, 78.1)    10- 9 2o
 227 H Cortland               SUNYAC        (14- 4, 86.8)    15- 9   
 302 N Christopher Newport    CAC           (12- 7, 84.9)    12-10   
 309 A Lycoming               MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 9, 76.1)    16- 6   
 313 H Eastern                MAC-Freedom   (12- 7, 78.6)    16- 7   
 323 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (14- 4, 87.5)     9-13   
 327 A Washington Coll.       Centennial    ( 7- 9, 84.4)    10- 7   
 330 H Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 9- 6, 80.8)    16-13   
 406 H McDaniel               Centennial    ( 2-14, 76.1)    16- 7   
 413 A Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (12- 5, 87.8)    16-15  o
 420 H Haverford              Centennial    ( 5-10, 79.0)     9-12   
 424 A Muhlenberg             Centennial    (10- 6, 82.1)    20-11   
 427 H Dickinson              Centennial    (11- 6, 87.5)     8-11   
 501 A Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (12- 5, 87.8)    12-11   
 504 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (14- 4, 87.5)    10- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 A Stevenson              13- 9       4     0    ++     4.67
   223 A Mary Washington        10- 9 2o    1     7    ---   -6.40
   227 H Cortland               15- 9       6     0    ++     5.36
   302 N Christopher Newport    12-10       2     1           0.41
   309 A Lycoming               16- 6      10     9           0.58
   313 H Eastern                16- 7       9     8           0.16
   323 A Gettysburg              9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.05
   327 A Washington Coll.       10- 7       3     1           1.81
   330 H Swarthmore             16-13       3     6    -     -3.66
   406 H McDaniel               16- 7       9    11          -1.00
   413 A Franklin & Marshall    16-15  o    1    -2    +      3.22
   420 H Haverford               9-12      -3     8    ---  -11.51
   424 A Muhlenberg             20-11       9     3    ++     5.51
   427 H Dickinson               8-11      -3     0    -     -2.94
   501 A Franklin & Marshall    12-11       1    -2    +      3.22
   504 A Gettysburg             10- 8       2    -1    +      3.95

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 A Mary Washington        10- 9 2o    1     7    ---   -6.40
   420 H Haverford               9-12      -3     8    ---  -11.51
   323 A Gettysburg              9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.05
   330 H Swarthmore             16-13       3     6    -     -3.66
   427 H Dickinson               8-11      -3     0    -     -2.94

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 A Stevenson              13- 9       4     0    ++     4.67
   227 H Cortland               15- 9       6     0    ++     5.36
   424 A Muhlenberg             20-11       9     3    ++     5.51
   413 A Franklin & Marshall    16-15  o    1    -2    +      3.22
   501 A Franklin & Marshall    12-11       1    -2    +      3.22
   504 A Gettysburg             10- 8       2    -1    +      3.95
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.50 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.45 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   222
 Local Quality Win Rating. 30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(2nd 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....      
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/