Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Joe Breschi             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.2691345    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 202 N Mercer                 SoCon         ( 1-12, 85.3)    20- 9   
 209 H Furman                 SoCon         ( 4-10, 86.7)    14-10   
 216 H Harvard                Ivy           ( 5- 8, 89.6)    16-11   
 223 H Johns Hopkins          Big Ten       ( 8- 7, 94.2)    10-11   
 302 H Denver                 Big East      (10- 5, 95.1)    10-12   
 308 H Marist                 MAAC          (10- 6, 86.3)    17- 5   
 312 H Bucknell               Patriot       ( 6- 9, 90.7)    12- 7   
 317 N Cleveland State        Independent   ( 8- 7, 90.4)    15- 9   
 323 A Maryland               Big Ten       (11- 4, 95.2)     9-16   
 330 H Duke                   ACC           (11- 4, 96.0)    10- 8   
 406 A Virginia               ACC           (13- 3, 96.0)    10-11   
 413 H Syracuse               ACC           ( 9- 4, 96.0)     9-12   
 420 A Notre Dame             ACC           ( 8- 6, 94.8)    10-12   
 425 N Syracuse               ACC           ( 9- 4, 96.0)    11-10   
 427 N Virginia               ACC           (13- 3, 96.0)    13-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   202 N Mercer                 20- 9      11     8           1.06
   209 H Furman                 14-10       4     8    --    -4.17
   216 H Harvard                16-11       5     5          -0.31
   223 H Johns Hopkins          10-11      -1     0          -1.72
   302 H Denver                 10-12      -2     0          -1.80
   308 H Marist                 17- 5      12     8           1.45
   312 H Bucknell               12- 7       5     4           0.77
   317 N Cleveland State        15- 9       6     3    +      2.15
   323 A Maryland                9-16      -7    -1    --    -5.46
   330 H Duke                   10- 8       2    -1    +      3.07
   406 A Virginia               10-11      -1    -2           1.32
   413 H Syracuse                9-12      -3    -1          -1.91
   420 A Notre Dame             10-12      -2    -1          -0.86
   425 N Syracuse               11-10       1    -1    +      2.70
   427 N Virginia               13-14      -1    -1           0.71

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   209 H Furman                 14-10       4     8    --    -4.17
   323 A Maryland                9-16      -7    -1    --    -5.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 N Cleveland State        15- 9       6     3    +      2.15
   330 H Duke                   10- 8       2    -1    +      3.07
   425 N Syracuse               11-10       1    -1    +      2.70
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 94.27 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.65 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............    18
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/