Conf = MAC-Commonwlth             Region = South        State = MD
   Nickname = Mustangs               Coach  = Paul Cantabene          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.2183990    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 H Ursinus                Centennial    (13- 3, 86.5)     9-13   
 223 A Denison                NCAC          (16- 2, 86.4)    13- 6   
 302 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (14- 4, 87.5)     9-16   
 309 H Salisbury              CAC           (18- 1, 93.2)     9-14   
 315 H Lynchburg              ODAC          (13- 6, 89.5)     9-11   
 316 H York                   CAC           (17- 2, 89.1)     4-12   
 319 H Tufts                  NESCAC        (17- 1, 92.9)     7-19   
 327 H Hood                   MAC-Commonwlt (10- 5, 74.1)    21- 5   
 330 H Albright               MAC-Commonwlt ( 1-13, 68.3)    20- 4   
 403 H Christopher Newport    CAC           (12- 7, 84.9)    14- 8   
 406 H Lycoming               MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 9, 76.1)    16- 8   
 409 A Alvernia               MAC-Commonwlt ( 3-13, 62.9)    33- 4   
 412 A Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-11, 78.4)    18- 9   
 416 H Lebanon Valley         MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-10, 75.0)    11- 5   
 419 A Cabrini                AEC           (17- 2, 89.4)    11-17   
 424 A Messiah                MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 7, 80.0)    17- 6   
 427 A Arcadia                MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 9, 78.3)    19-10   
 501 H Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-11, 78.4)    12- 8   
 504 H Lycoming               MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 9, 76.1)    23- 4   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H Ursinus                 9-13      -4     0    --    -4.67
   223 A Denison                13- 6       7    -1    +++    8.18
   302 A Gettysburg              9-16      -7    -2    --    -4.77
   309 H Salisbury               9-14      -5    -6           1.01
   315 H Lynchburg               9-11      -2    -2           0.32
   316 H York                    4-12      -8    -1    ---   -6.06
   319 H Tufts                   7-19     -12    -5    --    -4.32
   327 H Hood                   21- 5      16    13           0.00
   330 H Albright               20- 4      16    18           0.00
   403 H Christopher Newport    14- 8       6     2    +      3.74
   406 H Lycoming               16- 8       8    11    -     -2.00
   409 A Alvernia               33- 4      29    22           0.00
   412 A Widener                18- 9       9     6    +      2.10
   416 H Lebanon Valley         11- 5       6    12    --    -4.00
   419 A Cabrini                11-17      -6    -4          -1.88
   424 A Messiah                17- 6      11     5    ++     4.71
   427 A Arcadia                19-10       9     6    +      2.08
   501 H Widener                12- 8       4     8    --    -4.82
   504 H Lycoming               23- 4      19    11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H York                    4-12      -8    -1    ---   -6.06
   216 H Ursinus                 9-13      -4     0    --    -4.67
   302 A Gettysburg              9-16      -7    -2    --    -4.77
   319 H Tufts                   7-19     -12    -5    --    -4.32
   416 H Lebanon Valley         11- 5       6    12    --    -4.00
   501 H Widener                12- 8       4     8    --    -4.82
   406 H Lycoming               16- 8       8    11    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 A Denison                13- 6       7    -1    +++    8.18
   424 A Messiah                17- 6      11     5    ++     4.71
   403 H Christopher Newport    14- 8       6     2    +      3.74
   412 A Widener                18- 9       9     6    +      2.10
   427 A Arcadia                19-10       9     6    +      2.08
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.22 Local Power Rank...........    23
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.92 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   207
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   16.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   22.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   18.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   10.7
/