Conf = NCAC                       Region = South        State = OH
   Nickname = Big Red                Coach  = Mike Caravana           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.4355011    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 216 H Washington & Lee       ODAC          (15- 4, 89.6)    14-13   
 223 H Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (12- 7, 86.2)     6-13   
 302 A Roanoke                ODAC          (11- 8, 82.9)    20- 6   
 309 A DePauw                 NCAC          ( 7- 8, 76.2)    16- 6   
 315 N Dickinson              Centennial    (11- 6, 87.5)     9-14   
 316 N Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (12- 5, 87.8)    15-12   
 323 N Rhodes                 Southern      (15- 3, 80.5)    16-10   
 330 H Albion                 MIAA          ( 8- 9, 75.5)    24- 7   
 403 H Oberlin                NCAC          ( 5-10, 71.8)    16- 4   
 406 H Wabash                 NCAC          ( 5-12, 64.5)    27- 3   
 409 A Kenyon                 NCAC          (11- 6, 80.4)    15-12   
 413 H Whittier               Independent   (12- 3, 77.8)    12- 5   
 417 A Wooster                NCAC          ( 7-11, 74.4)    23- 9   
 420 H Wittenberg             NCAC          ( 4-11, 75.1)    17-10   
 423 A Hiram                  NCAC          ( 6- 9, 60.7)    25- 3   
 427 A Ohio Wesleyan          NCAC          (11- 8, 83.8)    16-13   
 502 H Wooster                NCAC          ( 7-11, 74.4)    17- 8   
 505 H Ohio Wesleyan          NCAC          (11- 8, 83.8)    17-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   216 H Washington & Lee       14-13       1    -2    +      3.25
   223 H Stevenson               6-13      -7     1    ---   -8.18
   302 A Roanoke                20- 6      14     2    +++    7.42
   309 A DePauw                 16- 6      10     9           0.67
   315 N Dickinson               9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.92
   316 N Franklin & Marshall    15-12       3    -1    ++     4.33
   323 N Rhodes                 16-10       6     5           0.05
   330 H Albion                 24- 7      17    11           0.00
   403 H Oberlin                16- 4      12    15           0.00
   406 H Wabash                 27- 3      24    22           0.00
   409 A Kenyon                 15-12       3     5    -     -2.09
   413 H Whittier               12- 5       7     9    -     -2.55
   417 A Wooster                23- 9      14    11           0.00
   420 H Wittenberg             17-10       7    12    -     -3.00
   423 A Hiram                  25- 3      22    24           0.00
   427 A Ohio Wesleyan          16-13       3     1           1.30
   502 H Wooster                17- 8       9    13          -1.00
   505 H Ohio Wesleyan          17-11       6     3    +      2.38

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 H Stevenson               6-13      -7     1    ---   -8.18
   315 N Dickinson               9-14      -5    -1    -     -3.92
   409 A Kenyon                 15-12       3     5    -     -2.09
   413 H Whittier               12- 5       7     9    -     -2.55
   420 H Wittenberg             17-10       7    12    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 A Roanoke                20- 6      14     2    +++    7.42
   316 N Franklin & Marshall    15-12       3    -1    ++     4.33
   216 H Washington & Lee       14-13       1    -2    +      3.25
   505 H Ohio Wesleyan          17-11       6     3    +      2.38
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.44 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.53 Local SOS Rank.............    54
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............    13
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    70
 Local Quality Win Rating. 60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   16.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   17.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.0
/