Conf = USA South                  Region = South        State = NC
   Nickname = Tornados               Coach  = Jim Fritz               

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   73.0417404    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 206 A Montreat               AAC           ( 4-11, 61.5)    17-10   
 209 H Birmingham-Southern    Southern      ( 7- 9, 74.6)     5-21   
 216 A Randolph               ODAC          ( 3-14, 62.9)    21- 7   
 223 A Hood                   MAC-Commonwlt (10- 5, 74.1)     8-16   
 302 H Pfeiffer               USA South     ( 8- 7, 67.0)    11-15   
 309 H Ohio Northern          OAC           (13- 5, 77.5)     8-15   
 316 A Methodist              USA South     ( 9- 7, 68.2)    17- 7   
 323 A William Peace          USA South     ( 6-11, 66.9)    16-17   
 327 A Emmanuel GA            Carolinas     ( 4-12, 70.7)    20-12   
 330 H Greensboro             USA South     ( 7-11, 68.2)    12-10   
 405 A Piedmont               USA South     ( 9- 8, 70.1)     9-13   
 413 A Averett                USA South     ( 1-12, 55.0)    18- 5   
 420 H Huntingdon             USA South     (12- 7, 71.1)     6-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Montreat               17-10       7     5          n/a  
   209 H Birmingham-Southern     5-21     -16    -5    --    -4.44
   216 A Randolph               21- 7      14     4    ++     5.81
   223 A Hood                    8-16      -8    -6          -1.01
   302 H Pfeiffer               11-15      -4     1    --    -6.00
   309 H Ohio Northern           8-15      -7    -8           1.46
   316 A Methodist              17- 7      10    -1    +++   11.11
   323 A William Peace          16-17      -1     0          -1.19
   327 A Emmanuel GA            20-12       8    -3          n/a  
   330 H Greensboro             12-10       2     0           1.25
   405 A Piedmont                9-13      -4    -2          -1.03
   413 A Averett                18- 5      13    12           0.00
   420 H Huntingdon              6-13      -7    -2    --    -4.87

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Montreat               17-10   
   327 A Emmanuel GA            20-12   
   206 A Montreat               17-10   
   209 H Birmingham-Southern     5-21     -16    -5    --    -4.44
   302 H Pfeiffer               11-15      -4     1    --    -6.00
   327 A Emmanuel GA            20-12   
   420 H Huntingdon              6-13      -7    -2    --    -4.87
   206 A Montreat               17-10   
   327 A Emmanuel GA            20-12   

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   206 A Montreat               17-10   
   316 A Methodist              17- 7      10    -1    +++   11.11
   327 A Emmanuel GA            20-12   
   206 A Montreat               17-10   
   216 A Randolph               21- 7      14     4    ++     5.81
   327 A Emmanuel GA            20-12   
   206 A Montreat               17-10   
   327 A Emmanuel GA            20-12   
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 68.04 Local Power Rank...........   170
 Local SOS Rating......... 39.82 Local SOS Rank.............   165
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............   181
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    37
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   123
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   13.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
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