Conf = Centennial                 Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Bears                  Coach  = Jamie Steele            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0987854    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 217 A Frostburg State        Capital       (10- 9, 83.1)     8- 9   
 224 H Mary Washington        Capital       ( 7-10, 81.3)     6-11   
 304 H Albright               MAC-Commonwlt ( 5-10, 76.4)    10- 1   
 309 A Cortland               SUNYAC        (12- 7, 86.4)     8-15   
 314 A Eastern                MAC-Freedom   (12- 7, 82.7)     9-10   
 317 H Cabrini                CSAC          (17- 3, 89.0)    12-19   
 324 H Gettysburg             Centennial    (19- 3, 89.4)     7- 8   
 328 H Washington College     Centennial    ( 8- 7, 85.5)    12-13   
 331 A Swarthmore             Centennial    ( 9- 6, 82.5)    10-12   
 406 A McDaniel               Centennial    ( 6-10, 80.1)    10- 7   
 414 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (12- 4, 90.4)     9-18   
 421 A Haverford              Centennial    ( 7- 8, 83.9)     4- 6   
 425 H Muhlenberg             Centennial    (11- 7, 82.2)    20- 7   
 428 A Dickinson              Centennial    (17- 4, 90.5)    10-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 A Frostburg State         8- 9      -1    -1           0.06
   224 H Mary Washington         6-11      -5     2    ---   -7.90
   304 H Albright               10- 1       9     7           1.19
   309 A Cortland                8-15      -7    -4    -     -2.59
   314 A Eastern                 9-10      -1     0          -0.29
   317 H Cabrini                12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.20
   324 H Gettysburg              7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.21
   328 H Washington College     12-13      -1    -1           0.35
   331 A Swarthmore             10-12      -2     0          -1.55
   406 A McDaniel               10- 7       3     1           1.11
   414 H Franklin & Marshall     9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.78
   421 A Haverford               4- 6      -2    -1          -0.17
   425 H Muhlenberg             20- 7      13     1    +++    8.08
   428 A Dickinson              10-19      -9    -8          -0.51

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Mary Washington         6-11      -5     2    ---   -7.90
   309 A Cortland                8-15      -7    -4    -     -2.59
   317 H Cabrini                12-19      -7    -4    -     -2.20
   414 H Franklin & Marshall     9-18      -9    -6    -     -2.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H Muhlenberg             20- 7      13     1    +++    8.08
   324 H Gettysburg              7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.21
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.10 Local Power Rank...........    41
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.97 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............   121
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   219
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....   177
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   11.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    9.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/