Conf = ACC                        Region = Southeast    State = NC
   Nickname = Tar Heels              Coach  = Joe Breschi             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.7571106    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 203 H Lafayette              Patriot       ( 3-12, 85.9)    17-10   
 210 H Furman                 SoCon         ( 4-10, 88.7)    15-14  o
 217 H Lehigh                 Patriot       (10- 7, 94.5)    12-11  o
 223 A Johns Hopkins          Big Ten       (12- 5, 97.4)    13-11   
 228 H Mercer                 SoCon         ( 4-10, 89.0)    14- 7   
 303 H St. John's             Big East      ( 6- 8, 92.5)     9- 8   
 305 H Denver                 Big East      (13- 4, 97.8)     6-10   
 310 A Hofstra                Colonial      ( 6- 8, 93.8)     6-12   
 314 A Richmond               SoCon         (11- 6, 92.5)    10-11   
 324 N Maryland               Big Ten       (14- 4, 97.6)     7-11   
 330 A Duke                   ACC           (16- 4, 99.3)    10-11   
 407 H Virginia               ACC           (12- 6, 94.8)    12-15   
 414 A Syracuse               ACC           ( 8- 7, 95.6)    12-13  o
 421 H Notre Dame             ACC           ( 9- 6, 96.7)    10- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   203 H Lafayette              17-10       7     8          -1.97
   210 H Furman                 15-14  o    1     6    --    -5.21
   217 H Lehigh                 12-11  o    1     0           0.58
   223 A Johns Hopkins          13-11       2    -4    +++    6.73
   228 H Mercer                 14- 7       7     5           1.08
   303 H St. John's              9- 8       1     2          -1.40
   305 H Denver                  6-10      -4    -2          -1.09
   310 A Hofstra                 6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.85
   314 A Richmond               10-11      -1     0          -1.13
   324 N Maryland                7-11      -4    -3          -0.13
   330 A Duke                   10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.69
   407 H Virginia               12-15      -3     0    -     -3.09
   414 A Syracuse               12-13  o   -1    -2           1.98
   421 H Notre Dame             10- 9       1    -1    +      2.80

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   210 H Furman                 15-14  o    1     6    --    -5.21
   310 A Hofstra                 6-12      -6    -1    --    -4.85
   407 H Virginia               12-15      -3     0    -     -3.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   223 A Johns Hopkins          13-11       2    -4    +++    6.73
   330 A Duke                   10-11      -1    -6    ++     5.69
   421 H Notre Dame             10- 9       1    -1    +      2.80
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.76 Local Power Rank...........    31
 Local SOS Rating......... 85.93 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    52
 Local Quality Win Rating.-40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/