Conf = MAC-Commonwlth             Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Atsen Bulus             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.4068527    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 217 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (19- 3, 89.4)     9-12   
 224 N Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (17- 4, 88.6)    10-11  o
 228 H Grove City             ORLC          (10- 6, 71.7)    15- 5   
 307 H Goucher                Landmark      (10- 7, 78.1)    14- 5   
 310 A Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (12- 4, 90.4)    17-18   
 314 H Frostburg State        Capital       (10- 9, 83.1)    10-14   
 324 A Eastern                MAC-Freedom   (12- 7, 82.7)     8- 7   
 329 A Arcadia                MAC-Commonwlt ( 6- 9, 76.9)    11- 4   
 404 H Lebanon Valley         MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 8, 77.1)     4- 3   
 407 A Lycoming               MAC-Commonwlt (10- 7, 79.4)    11- 9   
 411 H Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-11, 81.8)    11- 6   
 414 A Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (12- 7, 88.2)     7-22   
 418 H Hood                   MAC-Commonwlt ( 8- 7, 72.2)    20- 6   
 421 A Albright               MAC-Commonwlt ( 5-10, 76.4)    12- 8   
 424 H Alvernia               MAC-Commonwlt ( 2-14, 65.0)    19- 8   
 502 H Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-11, 81.8)     9-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   217 A Gettysburg              9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.03
   224 N Ohio Wesleyan          10-11  o   -1    -6    ++     5.19
   228 H Grove City             15- 5      10    11           0.00
   307 H Goucher                14- 5       9     5    +      3.58
   310 A Franklin & Marshall    17-18      -1    -9    +++    8.05
   314 H Frostburg State        10-14      -4     0    --    -4.38
   324 A Eastern                 8- 7       1    -1    +      2.41
   329 A Arcadia                11- 4       7     4    +      2.60
   404 H Lebanon Valley          4- 3       1     6    --    -5.40
   407 A Lycoming               11- 9       2     1           0.04
   411 H Widener                11- 6       5     1    +      3.29
   414 A Stevenson               7-22     -15    -6    -     -3.17
   418 H Hood                   20- 6      14    11           0.00
   421 A Albright               12- 8       4     4          -0.99
   424 H Alvernia               19- 8      11    18           0.00
   502 H Widener                 9-12      -3     1    --    -4.71

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   314 H Frostburg State        10-14      -4     0    --    -4.38
   404 H Lebanon Valley          4- 3       1     6    --    -5.40
   502 H Widener                 9-12      -3     1    --    -4.71
   414 A Stevenson               7-22     -15    -6    -     -3.17

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Franklin & Marshall    17-18      -1    -9    +++    8.05
   217 A Gettysburg              9-12      -3    -8    ++     5.03
   224 N Ohio Wesleyan          10-11  o   -1    -6    ++     5.19
   307 H Goucher                14- 5       9     5    +      3.58
   324 A Eastern                 8- 7       1    -1    +      2.41
   329 A Arcadia                11- 4       7     4    +      2.60
   411 H Widener                11- 6       5     1    +      3.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.41 Local Power Rank...........    50
 Local SOS Rating......... 58.31 Local SOS Rank.............    58
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    58
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   139
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    54
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.0
/