Colby                         5 - 7


 
   Conf = NESCAC                     Region = North        State = ME
   Nickname = White Mules            Coach  = Guy Van Arsdale         



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   87.3534851    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 A Amherst                NESCAC        (15- 4, 94.3)     7-22   
 310 H Hamilton               NESCAC        ( 2-13, 80.0)    10- 8   
 317 A Tufts                  NESCAC        (18- 2, 93.1)     6-20   
 324 A Connecticut College    NESCAC        (10- 6, 86.4)    10-11   
 327 H U. of New England      CCC           ( 9- 9, 78.8)     9- 8 2o
 331 H Wesleyan               NESCAC        (19- 3, 91.2)     4-17   
 407 H Middlebury             NESCAC        ( 9- 7, 86.9)    10-11   
 411 A Bowdoin                NESCAC        ( 8- 7, 88.0)     8- 7   
 414 A Williams               NESCAC        ( 9- 8, 87.1)    12-16   
 417 A Maine Maritime         North Atlanti ( 4- 7, 59.7)    19- 0   
 421 H Trinity                NESCAC        ( 4-10, 84.3)    10- 9   
 425 H Bates                  NESCAC        ( 8- 8, 87.6)    15-20   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Amherst                 7-22     -15   -13           0.00
   310 H Hamilton               10- 8       2     3          -1.39
   317 A Tufts                   6-20     -14   -11           0.00
   324 A Connecticut College    10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.08
   327 H U. of New England       9- 8 2o    1     4    -     -3.66
   331 H Wesleyan                4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.21
   407 H Middlebury             10-11      -1    -3    +      2.44
   411 A Bowdoin                 8- 7       1    -6    +++    7.75
   414 A Williams               12-16      -4    -5           1.78
   417 A Maine Maritime         19- 0      19    21           0.00
   421 H Trinity                10- 9       1     0           1.86
   425 H Bates                  15-20      -5    -4          -0.86


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H U. of New England       9- 8 2o    1     4    -     -3.66
   331 H Wesleyan                4-17     -13    -7    -     -2.21


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Bowdoin                 8- 7       1    -6    +++    7.75
   324 A Connecticut College    10-11      -1    -5    ++     4.08
   407 H Middlebury             10-11      -1    -3    +      2.44




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.35 Local Power Rank...........    51
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.45 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    92
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    57
 Local Quality Win Rating.-85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    70
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......   12.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.0


  
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