Conf = MAC-Commonwlth             Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Atsen Bulus             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.5809479    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 218 H Gettysburg             Centennial    (11- 6, 87.8)     4-11   
 225 N Ohio Wesleyan          North Coast   (11- 6, 87.3)     7- 8   
 301 H Adrian                 MIAA          ( 4-10, 66.4)    20- 6   
 308 A Goucher                Landmark      ( 5- 9, 77.8)    12- 6   
 311 A Christopher Newport    Capital       (11- 6, 85.5)     8-13   
 325 H Eastern                MAC-Freedom   (12- 7, 81.7)     7- 8 3o
 329 A Hood                   MAC-Commonwlt ( 8- 9, 75.2)    19- 8   
 401 H Albright               MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 7, 81.1)    14-10   
 405 A Alvernia               MAC-Commonwlt ( 3-13, 70.6)    20- 4   
 412 H Arcadia                MAC-Commonwlt ( 5-11, 74.5)    14- 5   
 419 A Lebanon Valley         MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 8, 79.3)     9- 6   
 422 H Lycoming               MAC-Commonwlt ( 5- 9, 75.9)    12- 8   
 425 N Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 8, 80.2)    12- 8   
 429 H Stevenson              MAC-Commonwlt (14- 6, 89.4)    10-14   
 503 H Albright               MAC-Commonwlt ( 9- 7, 81.1)    10-14   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 H Gettysburg              4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.10
   225 N Ohio Wesleyan           7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.68
   301 H Adrian                 20- 6      14    17           0.00
   308 A Goucher                12- 6       6     3    +      2.53
   311 A Christopher Newport     8-13      -5    -4          -0.77
   325 H Eastern                 7- 8 3o   -1     2    -     -3.26
   329 A Hood                   19- 8      11     6    +      3.99
   401 H Albright               14-10       4     2           1.21
   405 A Alvernia               20- 4      16    10           0.00
   412 H Arcadia                14- 5       9     9          -0.41
   419 A Lebanon Valley          9- 6       3     1           1.11
   422 H Lycoming               12- 8       4     8    --    -4.06
   425 N Widener                12- 8       4     2           1.58
   429 H Stevenson              10-14      -4    -5           1.48
   503 H Albright               10-14      -4     2    ---   -6.79

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 H Albright               10-14      -4     2    ---   -6.79
   422 H Lycoming               12- 8       4     8    --    -4.06
   218 H Gettysburg              4-11      -7    -3    -     -3.10
   325 H Eastern                 7- 8 3o   -1     2    -     -3.26

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 N Ohio Wesleyan           7- 8      -1    -4    +      3.68
   308 A Goucher                12- 6       6     3    +      2.53
   329 A Hood                   19- 8      11     6    +      3.99
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.58 Local Power Rank...........    46
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.15 Local SOS Rank.............    67
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    82
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   135
 Local Quality Win Rating.-80.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    63
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    7.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/