Conf = SoCon                      Region = West         State = CO
   Nickname = Falcons                Coach  = Eric Seremet            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.0346527    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 205 A Duke                   ACC           (13- 5, 99.4)    11-10   
 211 A Denver                 Big East      (13- 4, 99.4)     6-14   
 218 H Marist                 Metro Atlanti (10- 6, 91.6)     4-10   
 225 N Canisius               Metro Atlanti ( 6- 9, 90.7)    15-10   
 226 N Cleveland State        Independent   ( 5- 9, 86.2)    16- 2   
 304 A Boston U.              Patriot       (12- 5, 95.2)     6- 8   
 311 H Detroit Mercy          Metro Atlanti ( 5-11, 88.5)    13- 8   
 318 A Mercer                 SoCon         ( 5- 8, 87.8)    14- 6   
 325 H Jacksonville           SoCon         ( 3-11, 89.0)    10- 9  o
 328 A Marquette              Big East      ( 8- 8, 95.1)     6- 7   
 401 H Bellarmine             SoCon         ( 4- 9, 86.0)    20- 2   
 408 A Furman                 SoCon         ( 7- 8, 93.0)     7- 8   
 415 A VMI                    SoCon         ( 2-12, 84.0)    14- 4   
 422 H Richmond               SoCon         (12- 4, 96.0)     9- 7   
 429 A High Point             SoCon         ( 4-10, 90.1)    16-11   
 504 N Jacksonville           SoCon         ( 3-11, 89.0)    11- 8   
 506 A Richmond               SoCon         (12- 4, 96.0)     9- 6   
 513 A Denver                 Big East      (13- 4, 99.4)    10-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   205 A Duke                   11-10       1    -5    +++    6.13
   211 A Denver                  6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.85
   218 H Marist                  4-10      -6     4    ---  -10.21
   225 N Canisius               15-10       5     4           0.70
   226 N Cleveland State        16- 2      14     8           1.19
   304 A Boston U.               6- 8      -2     0          -1.05
   311 H Detroit Mercy          13- 8       5     7    -     -2.40
   318 A Mercer                 14- 6       8     6           1.61
   325 H Jacksonville           10- 9  o    1     6    --    -5.80
   328 A Marquette               6- 7      -1     0          -0.11
   401 H Bellarmine             20- 2      18     9           0.17
   408 A Furman                  7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.18
   415 A VMI                    14- 4      10    10           0.00
   422 H Richmond                9- 7       2     0    +      2.16
   429 A High Point             16-11       5     4           0.90
   504 N Jacksonville           11- 8       3     5    -     -2.99
   506 A Richmond                9- 6       3    -1    ++     4.79
   513 A Denver                 10-17      -7    -5          -1.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 H Marist                  4-10      -6     4    ---  -10.21
   325 H Jacksonville           10- 9  o    1     6    --    -5.80
   211 A Denver                  6-14      -8    -5    -     -2.85
   311 H Detroit Mercy          13- 8       5     7    -     -2.40
   408 A Furman                  7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.18
   504 N Jacksonville           11- 8       3     5    -     -2.99

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   205 A Duke                   11-10       1    -5    +++    6.13
   506 A Richmond                9- 6       3    -1    ++     4.79
   422 H Richmond                9- 7       2     0    +      2.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 95.03 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.65 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    21
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   18.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/