Conf = Centennial                 Region = South        State = PA
   Nickname = Bears                  Coach  = Jamie Steele            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.7445068    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 220 H Albright               MAC-Commonwlt ( 7-10, 80.6)    14- 6   
 227 H Mary Washington        Capital       ( 7-10, 83.0)     9- 5   
 305 A Frostburg State        Capital       (15- 4, 86.8)     6- 7   
 309 A Montclair State        Skyline       (13- 7, 86.9)    11- 7   
 312 A Elizabethtown          Landmark      (12- 6, 84.3)    12- 7   
 319 H Widener                MAC-Commonwlt ( 7- 8, 83.4)    16- 9   
 326 H Swarthmore             Centennial    (12- 6, 82.5)    18- 8   
 330 A Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (12- 5, 85.8)    15- 5   
 402 H Dickinson              Centennial    ( 8- 7, 88.6)    14-10   
 406 A Eastern                MAC-Freedom   (14- 6, 83.7)    12- 7   
 413 H Washington College     Centennial    ( 7- 8, 83.9)    10- 4   
 416 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (17- 3, 90.8)     6-11   
 423 A Muhlenberg             Centennial    ( 3-13, 78.5)     9- 5   
 427 A Haverford              Centennial    ( 7- 8, 84.8)    10- 8   
 430 H McDaniel               Centennial    ( 3-12, 81.3)    12- 5   
 504 H Franklin & Marshall    Centennial    (12- 5, 85.8)    15-12   
 507 A Gettysburg             Centennial    (17- 3, 90.8)     2- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   220 H Albright               14- 6       8     9          -1.29
   227 H Mary Washington         9- 5       4     6    -     -2.86
   305 A Frostburg State         6- 7      -1     0          -1.83
   309 A Montclair State        11- 7       4     0    +      3.26
   312 A Elizabethtown          12- 7       5     3           1.67
   319 H Widener                16- 9       7     6           0.59
   326 H Swarthmore             18- 8      10     7    +      2.69
   330 A Franklin & Marshall    15- 5      10     1    +++    8.13
   402 H Dickinson              14-10       4     1    +      2.73
   406 A Eastern                12- 7       5     3           1.02
   413 H Washington College     10- 4       6     5           0.04
   416 A Gettysburg              6-11      -5    -3          -1.78
   423 A Muhlenberg              9- 5       4     9    --    -5.08
   427 A Haverford              10- 8       2     2          -0.81
   430 H McDaniel               12- 5       7     8          -1.58
   504 H Franklin & Marshall    15-12       3     4          -1.11
   507 A Gettysburg              2- 9      -7    -3    -     -3.78

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 A Muhlenberg              9- 5       4     9    --    -5.08
   227 H Mary Washington         9- 5       4     6    -     -2.86
   507 A Gettysburg              2- 9      -7    -3    -     -3.78

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Franklin & Marshall    15- 5      10     1    +++    8.13
   309 A Montclair State        11- 7       4     0    +      3.26
   326 H Swarthmore             18- 8      10     7    +      2.69
   402 H Dickinson              14-10       4     1    +      2.73
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.74 Local Power Rank...........    20
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.40 Local SOS Rank.............    21
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   206
 Local Quality Win Rating. 25.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    8.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/